安徽省农业可持续发展能力动态分析
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国家自然科学基金项目"中国地级及以上城市的腹地测度及其空间演变研究"(41061017)


Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province
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    摘要:

    基于安徽省2000-2010年的农业相关基础数据,在构建农业可持续发展能力综合评价体系基础上,利用熵值分析方法从经济、社会、人口和资源、环境持续性5个层面对农业可持续发展能力进行了动态分析。建立了协调度模型,并对农业可持续发展5个子系统11 a的协调状态进行了评价。结果表明,2000-2010年安徽省农业可持续发展的整体水平呈现出稳步攀升的态势,但各个子系统的可持续发展水平的差异显著,经济子系统的起点高,发展最快,社会、人口子系统次之,3者均保持平稳较快增长态势;而资源和环境子系统的发展缓慢,甚至负增长,状态呈下滑趋势。安徽省11 a间农业可持续发展的协调状况不容乐观,基本处于不协调状态。

    Abstract:

    Based on the original data in agriculture from 2000 to 2010 in Anhui Province and the construction of comprehensive assessment system for agricultural sustainable development capability, We conduct a dynamic analysis on agricultural sustainable development capability from the five levels of economic, social, ecological, environmental and resource sustainability by using entropy method. And the coordination degree model was established in order to expand the evaluation on the coordination state of the agricultural sustainable development of the five sub-systems from 2000 to 2010. The result indicates that the overall level of agricultural sustainable development shows a steadily rising trend in Anhui Province during 2000-2010, however, the levels of the sustainable development have a significant difference among the various sub-systems. The economic sub-system has a higher starting point and was grown fastest, followed by social sub-system and demographic sub-system; They all maintain a steady and rapid growth state. Whereas the resource sub-system and the environmental sub-system are at a slower developing speed, they even have a negative growth and still decrease. The coordination situation of the agricultural sustainable development from 2000 to 2010 in Anhui Province is not optimistic, it was basically at the uncoordinated state.

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卢李朋,张杰,卞晓峰,张锐.安徽省农业可持续发展能力动态分析[J].水土保持通报,2014,(4):248-254

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  • 收稿日期:2013-08-03
  • 最后修改日期:2013-08-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-04-05
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