漓江最枯径流量演变分析
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国家科技支撑计划项目"漓江流域面源污染控制与水土流失治理技术研究和示范"(2012BAC16B02);广西自然科学基金(2013GXNSFBA019220);中国地质调查工作项目[基(2012)01-009-018;1212011220049];中国地质科学院岩溶地质研究所所长基金(200920;2009021;2011008)


Multiple Time Scales Analysis of Lowest Runoff in Lijiang River
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    摘要:

    基于小波和R/S分析方法,探讨了漓江流域桂林水文站55 a年最枯径流量序列的演变特性。结果显示:(1)最枯径流量存在12和30 a尺度的两个主周期,同时也存在4和6 a尺度的两个次周期,使其呈现出较明显的周期性变化;(2)桂林站年最枯径流量有逐渐减少的趋势,并且6,12,30 a的最枯径流量也有减少趋势,而4 a周期最枯径流量有增加趋势。与此同时,运用P-Ⅲ型曲线对各个周期最小值发生的频率进行了计算,4 a周期最枯径流量(8.09 m3/s)发生频率为35%~40%,6 a周期最枯径流量(5.3 m3/s)发生频率为10%~15%,12 a周期最枯径流量(10.2 m3/s)发生频率为55%~60%,30 a周期最枯径流量3.8 m3/s发生频率为1%~5%。

    Abstract:

    Based on the Morlet wavelet transform and R/S method, the evolution features of the 55 years annual withered runoff in Guilin hydrometric station of Lijing River was analyzed. The results showed that the lowest runoff have primary period of 12 years and 30 years and subperiod of 4 years and 6 years, which represented the period change. The annual lowest runoff showed the tendency of dropping off and the 6, 12, 30 years shared the same tendency. 4 years showed the tendency of increasing. Meanwhile, P-Ⅲ was used to calculate the minimum frequency of every period. The frequency of the lowest runoff(8.09 m3/s) for 4 years was 35%~40%, the frequency of lowest runoff(5.3 m3/s) for 6 years was 10%~15%, the frequency of lowest runoff 10.2 m3/s for 12 years was 55%~60%, and the frequency of lowest runoff(3.8 m3/s) for 3 years was 1%~5%.

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罗书文,邓亚东,覃星铭,史文强.漓江最枯径流量演变分析[J].水土保持通报,2014,(6):64-67,72

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  • 收稿日期:2013-11-22
  • 最后修改日期:2013-12-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-04-05
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