中国省域耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长的脱钩效应
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F323.211

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国家自然科学基金项目“数字经济促进产业转型升级的最优劳动要素配置:辐射效应与区域协调对策研究”(72203168)。


Decoupling Effect of Ecological Destruction of Cultivated Land and Agricultural Economic Growth in China
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    摘要:

    [目的] 研究中国省域耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长的脱钩效应,为深入了解耕地生态与农业经济的协调发展状况奠定基础。[方法] 运用2011—2020年中国31个省份的面板数据,从耕地生态破坏程度入手,采用熵权法、TOPSIS法对各省域耕地生态破坏程度进行评价分析。并在此基础上引入Tapio脱钩模型,深入研究中国省域耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长的脱钩效应。[结果] 在初期,中国各省域农业经济增长多以牺牲耕地生态健康为代价。不同地区之间的耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长之间变化存在一定的差异。上海、浙江、西藏、重庆、福建等地区耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长发展协调性较高,其中上海一直以来均处于强脱钩理想状态,西藏、重庆、福建、浙江一直处于脱钩状态未出现负脱钩效应。就整体而言,绝大部分省域耕地破坏与农业经济增长的协调性逐渐增强,但部分地区不协调问题较为突出,需要尽快整顿。青海、湖南、新疆5次出现负脱钩状态,云南、河南、甘肃3次出现负脱钩状态。[结论] 未来需要进一步促进耕地生态与农业经济的协调发展,牢牢守住耕地生态红线,扎实有效推进耕地保护工作。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The decoupling effect between cultivated land ecological destruction and agricultural economic growth in China were analyzed in order to provide scientific basis for understanding the coordinated development of cultivated land ecology and agricultural economy in China. [Methods] Using survey data from 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020, the entropy weight method and the TOPSIS method were used to evaluate and analyze the ecological damage degree of cultivated land for each province. The Tapio decoupling model was introduced to study the decoupling effect of ecological destruction of cultivated land and agricultural economic growth in China. [Results] In the early days, the growth of the agricultural economy in China’s provinces mostly came at the expense of the ecological health of cultivated land. There were certain differences between the ecological destruction of cultivated land and the growth of the agricultural economy between different regions. Shanghai, Zhejiang, Tibet, Chongqing, Fujian, and other regions had a high correlation between the ecological destruction of cultivated land and agricultural economic growth and development, among which Shanghai was always in an ideal state of strong decoupling, while Tibet, Chongqing, Fujian, and Zhejiang were in a state of decoupling without a negative decoupling effect. Overall, the correlation between cultivated land destruction and agricultural economic growth in most provinces had gradually increased over time, but the problem of non-coordination in some areas had been more prominent. It is, therefore, necessary to rectify this situation as soon as possible for provinces such as Qinghai, Hunan and Xinjiang (having five periods of negative decoupling), and Yunnan, Henan and Gansu (having three periods of negative decoupling). [Conclusion] It will be necessary to further promote the coordinated development of cultivated land ecology and the agricultural economy by firmly adhering to the ecological redline of cultivated land, and to firmly and effectively promote the development of cultivated land protection.

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雷社平,樊艳翔,张万里.中国省域耕地生态破坏与农业经济增长的脱钩效应[J].水土保持通报,2023,43(1):424-432

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  • 收稿日期:2022-04-19
  • 最后修改日期:2022-06-29
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-08
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