青海省2009-2023年农业面源污染结构及变化特征
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作者单位:

1.青海大学 农牧学院;2.青海大学 农林科学院;3.农业农村部西宁野外综合科学观测站

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X52

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青海省科技厅“不同程度盐碱地盐分聚散特征研究 ”(2023-NK-A3-B1)


Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Structure and Variation Characteristics in Qinghai Province from 2009 to 2023
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Affiliation:

1.Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences, Qinghai University;2.Xining Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Agro-Environment, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs

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    摘要:

    [目的]青海省生态环境敏感脆弱,维系着全国乃至亚洲水生态安全命脉。因此,精准识别青海省农业面源污染负荷特征,对保障区域的生态安全具有重要意义。[方法]基于青海省2009-2023年统计数据,采用产排污系数法核算种植业、畜禽养殖业及农村生活源中总氮(TN)、总磷(TP)、化学需氧量(COD)和氨氮(NH3-N)的排放量,选取不确定参数进行敏感性分析,并结合等标污染负荷法评价污染源和污染物的贡献特征。[结果]2009-2023年青海省农业面源污染排放总量呈上升趋势,从217288.26 t增至364869.09 t,增幅达67.92%。从污染物类型看,COD排放量最大为190603.48~334318.81t,占总排放量的87.72%~91.63%;TN次之,排放量为22343.76~25212.20 t,占总排放量的6.91%~10.28%。从污染源结构看,畜禽养殖业是主要排放源,排放量为174288.15~324337.15 t,占总排放量的80.21%~88.89%,农村生活源次之,排放量为27 794.01~29 531.32 t,占总排放量的7.71%~12.79%。敏感性分析表明,畜禽养殖业对区域污染负荷的调控最为敏感,居于优先控制地位。等标污染负荷年排放总量为441.52~569.10亿m3,其中,TN等标污染负荷量为223.44~252.12亿m3,等标污染负荷比最大在44.30%~50.61%之间,为主要污染物;畜禽养殖业等标污染负荷量为272.36~431.27 亿m3,等标污染负荷比最大在61.69%~75.78%之间,为主要污染源。结合污染源和污染物的等标污染负荷特征看,畜禽养殖业中TN的等标污染负荷量最大为117.02~167.67亿m3,等标污染负荷比为26.29%~29.46%。[结论]因此,青海省农业面源污染治理需优先管控畜禽养殖业,并将TN、COD作为关键控制污染物,以实现区域农业污染负荷的有效削减,筑牢高原水生态安全屏障。

    Abstract:

    [Objective]The ecological environment of Qinghai Province is ecologically sensitive and fragile, and it sustains the water ecological security of both China and Asia. Therefore, precisely characterizing the agricultural non-point source pollution load in Qinghai Province is crucial for ensuring regional ecological security. [Methods]Based on statistical data from Qinghai Province for the period 2009-2023, the emissions of total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N) from crop farming, livestock and poultry breeding, and rural domestic sources were estimated using the emission-factor method. Uncertain parameters were selected for sensitivity analysis, and the contributions of different pollution sources and pollutants were evaluated using the standardized pollution load method. [Results]From 2009 to 2023, the total agricultural non-point source pollution emissions in Qinghai Province showed an increasing trend, rising from 217,288.26 t to 364,869.09 t, an increase of 67.92%. In terms of pollutant type, COD emissions were the largest, ranging from 190,603.48 t to 334,318.81 t and accounting for 87.72%~91.63% of total emissions, followed by TN with emissions of 22,343.76 t to 25,212.20 t, which accounted for 6.91% to 10.28%. Regarding pollution source structure, livestock and poultry breeding was the primary emission source, with emissions of 174,288.15 t~324,337.15 t, contributing 80.21%~88.89% of total emissions. Rural domestic sources ranked second, emitting 27,794.01 t~29,531.32 t and accounting for 7.71%~12.79%. Sensitivity analysis indicated that livestock and poultry breeding was the most sensitive to regional pollution load regulation, identifying it as the priority for control. The total annual standardized pollution load ranged from 44.152 billion m3 to 56.910 billion m3. Among these, TN had the largest standardized load of 22.344 billion to 25.212 billion cubic meters, accounting for 44.30% to 50.61%, making it the primary pollutant. Livestock and poultry breeding had the largest standardized load of 27.236 billion to 43.127 billion cubic meters, accounting for 61.69% to 75.78%, identifying it as the dominant pollution source. From the perspective of the equivalent standard pollution load characteristics, TN from livestock and poultry breeding constituted the largest portion of the standardized load at 11.702 billion to 16.767 billion cubic meters, representing 26.29%~29.46% of the total. [Conclusion]Therefore, addressing agricultural non-point source pollution in Qinghai Province should prioritize the control of livestock and poultry breeding, with TN、COD identified as the key pollutant to control, in order to effectively reduce the regional agricultural pollution load and safeguard the ecological security of the plateau water system.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-18
  • 最后修改日期:2025-10-31
  • 录用日期:2025-11-03
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