黄土高原丘陵区新增造林碳储量及固碳潜力分析—以山西省右玉县为例
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1.龙源(北京)碳资产管理技术有限公司;2.龙源北京碳资产管理技术有限公司;3.北京林业大学 生态与自然保护学院;4.右玉县林业局;5.中国科学院植物研究所 系统与进化植物学重点实验室

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S757

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国家能源集团科技创新项目“林草措施固碳效应及价值实现路径研究”(LYH-2025-07)


Analysis of New Afforestation Carbon Storage and Carbon Sequestration Potential in Hilly Areas of the Loess Plateau: A Case Study of Youyu County, Shanxi Province
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    摘要:

    [目的]定量评估黄土高原丘陵区新增造林碳储量及固碳潜力,为当地及相似区域优化森林碳汇经营和碳汇交易提供理论支持。[方法]本研究以山西省右玉县为研究区,通过整理2012-2024年人工造林项目数据,采用生物量法和Logistic生长曲线模型法,分别估算了研究区域新增造林不同碳库(包括生物质、死有机质、土壤有机碳和总碳)的碳密度和碳储量,并对未来固碳潜力进行预测。[结果]①2012-2024年碳储量从6.18万tC增长至249.16万tC,增长40.29倍,原非边界内的基线土壤碳储量纳入是碳储量增加的核心驱动因素。②若不考虑新增造林基线土壤碳储量的贡献,2024年碳储量为50.52万tC,生物质碳储量占比为93.19%,为主要碳库;2024年总碳密度为14.98 tC/hm2,低于全国现有森林碳密度;树种方面,樟子松2024年碳储量占比为79.57%,是主要固碳树种;针阔混交林和樟子松碳密度显著高于其他树种,表明这两种树种在当地具有更大的固碳潜力。③预计2060年碳储量和碳密度将分别达478.43万tC和141.86 tC/hm2,碳密度将略高于全国森林碳密度;樟子松仍为主要固碳树种,但针阔混交林由于碳密度更高(210.46 tC/hm2)其固碳潜力更大。[结论]右玉县新增造林固碳效果显著,未来可通过优化树种结构、改造灌木林等措施进一步提升森林碳汇能力,并依托全国碳市场推动碳汇生态产品价值实现。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] This study aims to quantitatively assess the carbon storage and carbon sequestration potential of newly added afforestation in the hilly areas of the Loess Plateau, thereby provide theoretical support for optimizing forest carbon sink management and trading in the local area and similar regions [Methods] Youyu County, Shanxi Province, was selected as the research area. First, data related to artificial afforestation projects implemented in the county from 2012 to 2024 were systematically collated. Then, the biomass method and the Logistic growth curve model method were jointly applied to estimate the carbon density and carbon storage of different carbon pools (including biomass carbon pools, dead organic matter carbon pools, soil organic carbon pools and total carbon pools) in the newly added afforestation area of the study area. On this basis, the future carbon sequestration potential of these afforestation areas was further predicted. [Result]① From 2012 to 2024, the carbon storage increased from 61,800 tC to 249,160 tC, an increase of 40.29 times. The inclusion of baseline soil carbon storage within the original non-boundary was the core driving factor for the increase in carbon storage. ②If the contribution of the baseline soil carbon storage from the newly added afforestation is not taken into account, the carbon storage in 2024 will be 505,200 tC, with biomass carbon storage accounting for 93.19%, making it the main carbon pool. The total carbon density in 2024 will be 14.98 tC/hm2, which is lower than the current carbon density of all forests in China. In terms of tree species, the carbon storage proportion of the Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica in 2024 is 79.57%, making it the main carbon-sequestration tree species. The carbon density of mixed coniferous and broad-leaved forest and Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica are significantly higher than that of other tree species, indicating that these two types of trees have greater carbon sequestration potential when planted locally. ③ It is estimated that by 2060, the carbon storage and carbon density will reach 478,430 tC and 141.86 tC/hm2 respectively, and the carbon density will be slightly higher than that of China's national forests. Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica remains the main carbon-sequestration tree species, but mixed coniferous and broad-leaved forest have greater carbon sequestration potential due to their higher carbon density (210.46 tC/hm2). [Conclusion] The newly added afforestation in Youyu County has achieved remarkable carbon sequestration effects. In the future, the forest carbon sink capacity can be further enhanced through measures such as optimizing tree species structure and transforming shrub forests, and the value of carbon sink ecological products can be realized by relying on the national carbon market.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-27
  • 最后修改日期:2025-09-29
  • 录用日期:2025-09-30
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