2000-2023年吉林省黑土核心保护区撂荒耕地遥感监测及水土保持效应研究
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吉林师范大学

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S157

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国家自然科学基金青年基金项目“全生育期玉米叶面积指数反演的高光谱智能观测模式研究”(41701424);吉林省科技发展计划项目创新发展战略研究“生态强省视域下吉林省耕地生态安全评价与调控模式研究”(20240701167FG)


Remote Sensing Monitoring and Soil and Water Conservation Effects of Abandoned Cropland in the Core Protection Area of Black Soil in Jilin Province from 2000 to 2023
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    摘要:

    [目的]分析吉林省黑土核心保护区2000-2023年耕地撂荒时空分布,阐明导致耕地撂荒现象的主要驱动因素,评估撂荒耕地的水土保持效应,为相同区域撂荒耕地遥感监测与水土保持效应研究提供理论依据。[方法]依托谷歌地球引擎(Google Earth Engine,GEE)平台,利用Landsat长时序影像,结合多维度特征,耦合随机森林及LandTrendr变化检测方法,获取研究区撂荒耕地时空分布范围,并利用地理探测器对其主要驱动因素进行分析。最后,基于AHP-EM-乘积归一化组合赋权法对撂荒耕地水土保持效应进行综合评估。[结果]①基于RF-LT模型获取研究区撂荒耕地总体精度大于85%,Kappa系数不低于0.8,分类精度较高,整体分类效果好。②撂荒耕地面积变化,总体呈现先上升后波动下降趋势,在2013年达到峰值459km2。在空间分布上,整体呈现先增加再减少,最后局部增加的趋势,撂荒耕地分布较为零散。③夜间灯光强度、地块平均面积和高程对耕地撂荒的解释力较高,q值均超过0.4。另外坡度与地块平均面积交互作用最为突出,q值为0.997。④研究区撂荒5年、10年、15年、20年、20年以上的撂荒耕地水土保持效应综合得分分别为0.3886、0.4773、0.8014、0.6044、0.4438分,呈先增加后降低的趋势。[结论]研究结果揭示了吉林省核心黑土区撂荒耕地及水土保持效应的变化趋势,为黑土地保护与农业可持续发展提供理论依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] This study aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of abandoned cropland in the core black soil protection zone of Jilin Province from 2000 to 2023, clarify the main driving factors behind abandoned cropland, and assess the soil and water conservation effects. The findings provide a theoretical basis for remote sensing monitoring of abandoned cropland and soil and water conservation research in similar regions.[Methods] Based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and Landsat imagery, the study integrates multidimensional characteristics and combines random forest and LandTrendr change detection methods to map the spatiotemporal distribution of abandoned cropland. Key driving factors were analyzed using geographic detectors. A comprehensive assessment of the soil and water conservation effects is performed using a combination weighting method based on AHP-EM-product normalization. [Results] ① The RF-LT model achieves an overall accuracy greater than 85%, and the Kappa coefficient of at least 0.8, indicating high classification accuracy and reliable results. ② The area of abandoned cropland initially increases, then experienced a fluctuating decline after peaking at 459 km2 in 2013. In terms of spatial distribution, it exhibits a trend of first increasing, then decreasing, and finally experiencing a local increase, with a relatively scattered distribution of abandoned cropland. ③ Night-time light intensity, average parcel area, and elevation are highly explanatory, with q-values all exceeding 0.4. Furthermore, the interaction between slope and average parcel area is the most significant, yielding a q-value of 0.997. ④ Soil and water conservation effect scores for abandonment of 5, 10, 15, 20, and over 20 years are 0.3886, 0.4773, 0.8014, 0.6044, and 0.4438, respectively, indicating an initial increase followed by a decrease. [Conclusions] The research results reveal the changing trends of abandoned cropland and its soil and water conservation effects in the core black soil region of Jilin Province, providing a theoretical basis for black soil protection and agricultural sustainable development.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-10
  • 最后修改日期:2025-10-31
  • 录用日期:2025-11-03
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