白龙江流域溃决型泥石流灾变过程研究
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成都理工大学

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TD88

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国家自然科学基金“强震区泥石流服役拦砂坝损伤机制与减灾效果评价方法研究”(42477173); 成都理工大学珠峰科学研究计划2.0 交叉项目支持;四川省中央引导地方科技发展专项项目(自由探索类基础研究)(2024ZYD0121);中国长江电力股份有限公司科研项目(AH2025-0221)


Study on the Catastrophic Processes of Dam-Break Debris Flows in the Bailong River Basin
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    摘要:

    [目的]为揭示白龙江流域溃决型泥石流的演化机理与灾变过程。[方法]以陇南市汉王镇甘家沟为研究区,通过室内遥感解译与野外实地考察获取物源、地形与降雨特征,结合区域地质构造、地震活动等成灾条件,系统分析了溃决型泥石流的运动特征,并结合数值仿真平台OpenLISEM,对主沟、支沟及级联溃决三种溃决模式进行模拟与对比分析。[结果]结果表明:(1)甘家沟流域物源丰富,存在大量崩滑体,主要触发因素为暴雨,崩滑体堵塞沟道后极易形成溃决型泥石流。(2)溃决型泥石流演化过程可分为“崩滑体失稳—沟道堵塞—堰塞坝形成与溃决—流量放大致灾”四个阶段,其灾变过程为由重力势能快速转化为动能与流体整体冲压力的耦合作用。(3)模拟结果显示:主沟溃决型泥石流冲出距离达1342.06 m,堆积面积1.38 km2,最大堆积厚度达21.64 m,轻微堵塞白龙江;支沟溃决型泥石流规模相对较小,堆积面积1.03 km2,最大堆积厚度15.37 m,未对白龙江造成堵塞;级联溃决型泥石流规模最大,冲出距离1365.64 m,堆积面积1.92 km2,最大堆积厚度28.2 m,严重堵塞白龙江并形成堰塞湖,有极大可能产生溃决洪水,对下游居民区构成严重威胁。[结论](1)甘家沟具备陡峻地形、物源丰富、降雨集中和地震频繁等不利条件,是溃决型泥石流高发区。(2)溃决型泥石流普遍经历堵塞—蓄水—溃决阶段,灾害破坏力显著高于一般暴雨型泥石流。(3)不同溃决模式在规模、堆积范围及危害程度上存在差异,其中级联溃决风险最大。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] This study aims to reveal the evolutionary mechanisms and catastrophic processes of dam-break type debris flows in the Bailong River Basin. [Methods] Taking Ganjia Gully in Hanwang Town, Longnan City as the study area, source materials, topography, and rainfall characteristics were obtained through indoor remote sensing interpretation and field investigations. Combined with regional geological structures, seismic activity, and other hazard-inducing conditions, the movement characteristics of dam-break type debris flows were systematically analyzed. Furthermore, the numerical simulation platform OpenLISEM was employed to simulate and compare three dam-break scenarios: main gully, tributary gully, and cascading dam-break debris flows. [Results] The results indicate that: (1) The Ganjia Gully basin is rich in source materials and contains numerous landslides. Intense rainfall is the primary triggering factor, and once landslides block the channel, dam-break debris flows are highly likely to occur. (2) The evolutionary process of the cascade outburst debris flow can be divided into four stages: landslide failure – channel blockage – formation and breaching of the landslide dam – discharge amplification and disaster formation. The catastrophic process is characterized by the coupled action of the rapid conversion of gravitational potential energy into kinetic energy and the overall impact force of the debris flow. (3) Simulation results show that the main-gully dam-break debris flow traveled 1342.06 m, with a deposition area of 1.38 km2 and a maximum thickness of 21.64 m, causing slight blockage of the Bailong River. The tributary-gully dam-break debris flow was relatively smaller in scale, with a deposition area of 1.03 km2 and a maximum thickness of 15.37 m, without blocking the Bailong River. The cascading dam-break debris flow was the largest, traveling 1365.64 m, with a deposition area of 1.92 km2 and a maximum thickness of 28.2 m, severely blocking the Bailong River and forming a landslide-dammed lake, which poses a high risk of dam-break flooding and a serious threat to downstream settlements. [Conclusions] (1) Ganjia Gully is highly susceptible to dam-break debris flows due to its steep terrain, abundant source materials, concentrated rainfall, and frequent seismic activity. (2) Dam-break debris flows generally undergo blockage–impoundment–outburst stages, with destructive power significantly greater than that of typical rainfall-induced debris flows. (3) Different dam-break scenarios vary in scale, deposition range, and hazard level, among which cascading dam-break debris flows present the greatest risk.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-22
  • 最后修改日期:2025-10-23
  • 录用日期:2025-10-24
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