川西南农村山洪韧性与生态系统调节服务的协调关系
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中国科学院、水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


The Couping and Coordination between Flash Flood Resilience and Ecosystem Regulation Services in Rural Areas of Southwest Sichuan
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    [目的]气候变化背景下,山区农村山洪灾害风险持续加剧,传统城市防洪评估难以适配农村“自然-社会”复合致灾特点。本研究旨在突破以往单一维度研究范式,首次将农村山洪韧性与生态系统调节服务置于统一框架下,探索二者耦合协调关系的时空演变规律。[方法]研究以山洪高发且生态地位关键的川西南地区为对象,采用“压力-状态-响应”(PSR)模型构建农村山洪韧性评价体系,并运用修正通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)和水量平衡方程测算土壤保持及水源涵养服务,最终利用耦合协调度模型定量解析两系统协调关系。[结果](1)2013-2023年间,农村山洪韧性水平由0.343显著提升至0.471,但空间上呈现稳定的“北高南低”格局。(2)生态调节服务与水热格局相匹配,同时受气候波动影响,并非线性变化,具有明显的地域分异。(3)耦合协调关系表现出显著的功能分异与空间极化特征。农村山洪韧性与土壤保持的协调性更优,空间覆盖广且稳定;但与水源涵养的协调性呈现剧烈两极分化,北部多处于“优质协调”,而南部凉山腹地长期处于“中度失调”乃至“严重失调”状态。水源涵养功能的提升受到更为严格的自然本底约束,易形成短板效应。[结论]未来的农村山洪韧性提升策略应避免“一刀切”,需对北部协调区侧重提质增效,对南部失调区侧重补短板与适洪恢复,特别是推广耐旱植被与坡改梯相结合的模式,以实现人水土系统的协调发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Against the backdrop of escalating flash flood risks in mountainous rural areas due to climate change and the inadequacy of conventional urban-centric assessment frameworks for the "natural-social" coupled disaster mechanism in the countryside, this study aims to break the constraints of the traditional single-dimensional research paradigm. For the first time, it integrates rural flash flood resilience and ecosystem regulating services (ERS) into a unified framework to explore the spatio-temporal evolution of their coupling and coordination relationship. [Methods] Taking Southwest Sichuan, a region characterized by frequent flash floods and critical ecological status, as the study area, we employed the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model to construct the rural flash flood resilience evaluation system. Ecosystem regulating services, specifically soil retention and water yield, were quantified using the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and the Water Balance Equation, respectively. Finally, the Coupling Coordination Degree Model was utilized to quantitatively analyze the synergistic relationship between the two systems from 2013 to 2023. [Results] (1) The level of rural flash flood resilience significantly increased from 0.343 to 0.471 during 2013–2023, yet a stable spatial pattern of "high in the north, low in the south" persisted. (2) ERS correlated with the hydro-thermal pattern but showed non-linear fluctuations influenced by climate, resulting in significant regional differentiation. (3) The coupling coordination relationship exhibited pronounced functional differentiation and spatial polarization. The coordination between rural flash flood resilience and soil retention was generally better, demonstrating wider and more stable spatial coverage. However, coordination with water yield was severely polarized: the northern areas maintained "High-Quality Coordination," while the Liangshan hinterland in the south remained in a long-term state of "Moderately" or even "Severely Dysfunctional." This highlights that the improvement of water yield service is subject to stricter natural endowment constraints, resulting in a limiting factor effect. [Conclusion] Future strategies for enhancing rural flash flood resilience must avoid a "one-size-fits-all" approach. We propose that coordinated regions in the north should focus on quality and efficiency improvement, while dysfunctional regions in the south should prioritize filling key gaps and implementing flood-adaptive restoration, specifically by promoting drought-tolerant vegetation combined with terracing to achieve coordinated development of the human-water-soil system.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-26
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-12
  • 录用日期:2025-12-12
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