泾河流域生态系统服务权衡与协同动态关系及其社会因素驱动机制研究S
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.西安科技大学 测绘科学与技术学院;2.陕西师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院

作者简介:

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中图分类号:

X196

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Study on the dynamic relationship between trade-offs and synergies in watershed ecosystem services and their driving mechanisms by social factors
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Surveying and Mapping,Xi'2.'3.an University of Science and Technology,Xi'4.an

Fund Project:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    [目的] 研究生态系统服务权衡与协同关系的演变机制,对推动区域经济高质量发展具有重要意义。[方法] 本文以黄土高原人类活动密集的泾河流域为研究区,使用InVEST模型、生态系统服务网络等方法分析该流域2000-2023年产水量、生境质量、土壤保持量和碳储量四项关键生态系统服务权衡协同关系的时空演变特征,并从自然生态、社会经济及景观格局层面解析其驱动机制。[结果] ①2000-2023年间,产水量与土壤保持量呈现“升-降-再升”的“N”型变化趋势,生境质量整体稳定在约0.69,碳储量则总体上升且略有波动。产水量与生境质量呈较强权衡,与土壤保持量和碳储量为弱权衡;生境质量与土壤保持量、碳储量之间均表现出强协同关系,其中生境质量与碳储量的协同性最为显著。②生态系统网络分析,降水显著促进产水量与土壤保持功能,气温升高则抑制生境质量与碳储量;植被覆盖度(NDVI)对生态功能发挥积极作用。同时,土地利用强度、人口密度和 GDP 的提升对生态系统服务产生负向影响;而较高的景观聚集度与大斑块格局有利于生态功能维持,景观破碎化则对其形成抑制作用。③广义加性模型显示,坡度是产水量-生境质量关系的主导因子。人口密度和坡度分别主导产水量-土壤保持量与产水量-碳储量关系。生境质量与土壤保持量关系的主导因子是土地利用强度。NDVI和土地利用强度是生境质量-碳储量及土壤保持量-碳储量关系的关键驱动因子。[结论] 泾河流域生态系统服务间存在显著的时空权衡与协同关系,其关系受自然、社会及景观格局因素共同影响,研究结果综合来看以人口密度和土地利用强度为主的社会因素占据主导地位。未来流域可持续发展政策制定需统筹三类因素的交互作用,重视社会因素作用,实现生态与经济协同发展。

    Abstract:

    [Purpose] Studying the evolutionary mechanisms of ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies is of great significance for promoting high-quality regional economic development. [Method] This study used the Jinghe River Basin, a region with intensive human activities on the Loess Plateau, as the study area. Using the InVEST model and ecosystem service network methods, we analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution of trade-offs and synergies among four key ecosystem services (water yield, habitat quality, soil conservation, and carbon storage) in the basin from 2000 to 2023. The driving mechanisms were analyzed from the perspectives of natural ecology, socio-economics, and landscape pattern. [Results] ① Between 2000 and 2023, water yield and soil retention exhibited an N-shaped trend of increase, decrease, and then increase again. Habitat quality remained stable at approximately 0.69, while carbon storage generally increased with slight fluctuations. Water yield showed a strong trade-off with habitat quality, but a weak trade-off with soil retention and carbon storage. Habitat quality exhibited strong synergistic relationships with both soil retention and carbon storage, with the synergy between habitat quality and carbon storage being the most significant. ②Ecosystem network analysis shows that precipitation significantly promotes water yield and soil conservation, while rising temperatures inhibit habitat quality and carbon storage. Vegetation coverage (NDVI) positively impacts ecological functions. Meanwhile, increases in land use intensity, population density, and GDP negatively impact ecosystem services. High landscape aggregation and large patch patterns contribute to the maintenance of ecological functions, while landscape fragmentation inhibits them. ③ The generalized additive model shows that slope is the dominant factor in the water yield-habitat quality relationship. Population density and slope dominate the water yield-soil retention and water yield-carbon storage relationships, respectively. Land use intensity is the dominant factor in the habitat quality-soil retention relationship. NDVI and land use intensity are key driving factors in the habitat quality-carbon storage and soil retention-carbon storage relationships. [Conclusion]Significant spatiotemporal trade-offs and synergistic relationships exist among ecosystem services in the Jinghe River Basin. These relationships are influenced by natural, social, and landscape pattern factors. Overall, the results indicate that social factors, primarily population density and land use intensity, dominate. The formulation of future watershed sustainable development policies needs to take into account the interaction of three types of factors, attach importance to the role of social factors, and achieve coordinated development of ecology and economy.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-29
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-08
  • 录用日期:2025-12-12
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