水-能源-粮食-生态纽带关系的发展动态及展望
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作者单位:

1.湖南师范大学;2.湖南师范大学 地理科学学院;3.中国科学院 亚热带农业生态研究所

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中图分类号:

X321

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金;国家重点研发计划项目;湖南省重点基金;湖南省科技创新计划项目


Development dynamics and prospects of the Water-Energy-Food-Ecology Nexus
Author:
Affiliation:

School of geographical sciences,Hunan Normal University,Hunan

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China;National Key Research and Development Program of China;Hunan Provincial Key Foundation;Hunan Province Science and Technology Plan

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    摘要:

    [目的]日益加剧的全球性气候变化和高强度人类活动对生态系统造成的巨大压力使2030年全球实现可持续发展目标面临严峻挑战。水、能源和粮食作为生态系统可持续发展的核心基石,进一步提升水-能源-粮食-生态纽带关系(WEFEN)的协同发展程度是实现可持续发展目标的必然要求。[方法]因此,基于广泛的文献调研与Citespace工具,在厘定纽带关系、水-能源-粮食纽带关系及WEFEN概念的基础上,系统梳理国内外研究进展,包括发文趋势、国家合作、热点主题与研究前沿,并从量化评估、模拟优化、关联分析与综合评估四类方法总结WEFEN模型研究,进一步从协同、安全、风险与优化四个视角归纳研究重点。[结果]①近20年来WEFE领域发文量迅速增长,国际合作网络日益紧密,反映出该议题已发展为全球可持续性科学的研究热点。②当前WEFEN模型方法虽渐趋多元,却普遍缺乏对社会经济驱动与自然过程的有机整合,尤其在制度、行为等软系统维度表征不足。③从协同、安全、风险与优化四大视角来看,研究多侧重单一目标而生态要素常被简化处理,社会机制与目标冲突的解析仍较薄弱。④当前研究在不同区域的WEFEN耦合特征与风险差异显著。[结论]未来应重点关注复合极端气候事件对WEFEN稳定性的冲击机制,地球关键带WEFEN的动态耦合与权衡关系,以及地貌类型驱动的区域定制化特异性模型开发,以提升WEFEN系统协同治理能力与应用前景。

    Abstract:

    [Objective]The escalating global climate change and intensive human activities are subjecting ecosystems to immense pressure, posing formidable challenges to the worldwide achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. As the fundamental pillars for sustainable ecosystem development, water, energy, and food make it imperative to enhance the synergistic development of the Water-Energy-Food-Ecology Nexus (WEFEN) to fulfill the Sustainable Development Goals.[Methods]Therefore, based on an extensive literature review and the Citespace tool, this study systematically reviews domestic and international research progress—including publication trends, international collaborations, hot topics, and research frontiers—following the clarification of nexus relationships, the water-energy-food nexus, and the WEFEN concept. It further summarizes WEFEN modeling research by categorizing methodologies into quantitative assessment, simulation and optimization, correlation analysis, and comprehensive evaluation. Additionally, key research priorities are identified from four perspectives: synergy, security, risk, and optimization.[Results]① Over the past two decades, publication output in the WEFE field has grown rapidly, accompanied by an ever-expanding network of international cooperation, reflecting its emergence as a focal point in global sustainability science. ② Although methodological approaches in WEFEN modeling have gradually diversified, they generally lack organic integration of socioeconomic drivers and natural processes, particularly in representing soft-system dimensions such as institutional and behavioral factors. ③ From the four key perspectives—synergy, security, risk, and optimization—research has often emphasized single objectives while oversimplifying ecological elements; moreover, analysis of social mechanisms and goal conflicts remains underdeveloped. ④ Current studies reveal significant regional disparities in the coupling characteristics and risk profiles of WEFEN systems across different geographical contexts.[Conclusion]Future research should prioritize understanding the impact mechanisms of compound extreme climate events on WEFEN stability, investigating the dynamic coupling and trade-offs within the Earth"s Critical Zone, and developing region-specific models tailored to geomorphological types, so as to enhance synergistic governance capabilities and application prospects of WEFEN systems.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-11-15
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-08
  • 录用日期:2025-12-12
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