新型城镇化进程中山西省县域综合发展质量评估——基于“社会—景观—生态”三维视角
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山西师范大学地理科学学院

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山西省基础研究计划项目(202303021222184);山西省哲学社会规划课题(2024QN058);山西省自然科学基金青年(202403021222245)


Assessment of County-Level Comprehensive Development Quality in Shanxi Province during the New Urbanization Process: A Three-Dimensional Perspective Based on "Society–Landscape–Ecology"
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    摘要:

    [目的]科学评估县域综合发展质量是推进新型城镇化、实现区域协调与可持续发展的关键环节。[方法]基于新型城镇化与协同发展的核心内涵,从“社会—景观—生态”三维视角构建综合发展质量评估框架。综合运用泰尔指数、探索性时空数据分析及障碍度模型等方法,对2012-2023年山西102个县域单元的综合发展质量进行时空格局解析与障碍因子诊断。[结果](1)山西省县域综合发展质量呈缓慢提升态势,年均增长率1.28%,空间上呈现“大分散、小集中”的格局,高水平区集聚于中部及晋东南,低水平区分布于运城盆地。(2)总体差异呈波动收敛趋势,但62.75%的差异来源于地市内部,晋城、吕梁、长治等市内部差异呈扩大趋势。(3)全局空间相关性显著但持续减弱,局部空间结构表现出强烈的“路径依赖”与“空间锁定”特征。(4)社会发展质量是当前最主要的制约维度,其中邮政电信业务总量、规模以上工业企业利润总额及地均固定资产投资是三大核心障碍因子;同时,生态系统与景观格局的制约作用正逐步显现。[结论]山西省县域综合发展质量有所提升,但仍面临内部失衡、空间锁定及多维制约等挑战,未来需统筹推进社会经济与生态保护,以实现三维协同提升。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Scientifically assessing the county-level comprehensive development quality is a key step in advancing new urbanization and achieving regional coordination and sustainable development. [Methods] Based on the core connotations of new urbanization and synergistic development, an evaluation framework for comprehensive development quality was constructed from a three-dimensional perspective of "society-landscape-ecology". Methods such as the theil index, exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis (ESTDA), and the barrier degree model were comprehensively applied to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns and diagnose the barrier factors of comprehensive development quality across 102 county-level units in Shanxi from 2012 to 2023. [Results] (1) The comprehensive development quality of counties in Shanxi Province showed a slow upward trend, with an average annual growth rate of 1.28%. Spatially, it exhibited a pattern of "large dispersion with small concentration", with high-level areas clustered in the central region and southeastern Shanxi, while low-level areas were distributed in the Yuncheng Basin. (2) Overall regional differences displayed a fluctuating convergence trend, but 62.75% of the differences originated from within prefecture-level cities, with intra-city disparities in Jincheng, Lüliang, and Changzhi showing an expanding trend. (3) Global spatial correlation was significant but continuously weakened, and the local spatial structure exhibited strong characteristics of "path dependence" and "spatial lock-in". (4) Social development quality is currently the most constraining dimension, with the total postal and telecommunications services, total profits of industrial enterprises above a designated size, and fixed-asset investment per unit land area identified as the three core barrier factors. Meanwhile, the constraining effects of ecosystem and landscape pattern quality are gradually becoming apparent. [Conclusions] The comprehensive development quality of counties in Shanxi Province has improved but still faces challenges such as internal imbalances, spatial lock-in, and multidimensional constraints. Future efforts need to coordinate socio-economic development with ecological protection to achieve three-dimensional synergistic enhancement.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-02
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-07
  • 录用日期:2026-01-08
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