黄河流域资源型城市韧性与碳排放的耦合协调、时空演进与空间集聚
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X24,X32

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教育部人文社会科学研究规划青年资助项目“山西矿区生态占用赤字的负外部效应与补偿机制研究”(20YJC630052);山西省哲学社会科学规划课题(2023YY251);山西省高校哲学社会科学课题(2022W121);山西省社科院规划课题(SXGZL202414);大同市软科学课题(2023077);山西大同大学云冈学专项课题(2023YGYB16)


Coupling coordination, spatio-temporal evolution and spatial agglomeration between urban resilience and carbon emission in resource-based cities of Yellow River basin
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    [目的] 分析黄河流域资源型城市韧性与碳排放的耦合协调水平与时空分异,为推进全流域高质量发展提供科学依据。[方法] 基于构建城市韧性评价指标体系,运用耦合协调模型和空间自相关模型测度城市韧性与碳排放的耦合协调水平、时空演进,分析其空间集聚特征。[结果] ①黄河流域资源型城市韧性与碳排放分别呈递增与递减趋势,城市韧性变化幅度快于碳排放,且不同地区存在差异。②黄河流域资源型城市韧性与碳排放耦合协调水平呈“小幅提升—快速上涨”的特征,中游耦合协调水平增幅高于上游与下游。③不同地区耦合协调等级明显提升,但其差异较大。④部分资源型城市韧性与碳排放耦合协调逐渐向“高-低”区域集聚,具有空间聚集效应,呈现“块状”趋同特征。[结论] 黄河流域资源型城市需整合区域资源与要素优势,制定个性化的提升路径,实现“上游固碳增汇、中游降碳增效、下游低碳集约”的协同目标,促进黄河流域资源型城市韧性提升与碳减排目标协同推进。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The coupling coordination level and spatio-temporal differentiation between the resilience of resource-based cities and carbon emissions in the Yellow River basin were analyzed to provide a scientific basis for promoting high-quality development across the entire river basin. [Methods] Based on evaluation index system of urban resilience, the coupling coordination degree, spatio-temporal evolution, and spatial agglomeration between urban resilience and carbon emission were analyzed by the coupling coordination model and the spatial autocorrelation model. [Results] ①Urban resilience and carbon emissions of resource-based cities in the Yellow River basin showed increasing and decreasing trends, respectively. The change in urban resilience occurred faster than that in carbon emissions, and there were differences among different regions. ②The level of coupling coordination in resource-based cities was characterized by a ‘small increase followed by a rapid rise’, with the growth rate in the middle reaches being faster than that upstream and downstream. ③The level of coupling coordination improved significantly; however, there were substantial differences among the different regions. ④Some resource-based cities were gradually distributed in ‘high-low’ areas and characterized by a ‘block-like’ distribution. [Conclusion] Resource cities in the Yellow River basin need to integrate regional resources, factor advantages, and formulate personalized improvement paths to achieve the collaborative goal of ‘carbon sequestration and sink enhancement upstream, carbon reduction and efficiency improvement in the middle reaches, and low-carbon intensification downstream’, which will contribute to promoting coordination between resilience improvement and carbon reduction in basin.

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杨怡康,蒋毓琪,田文博,王志华.黄河流域资源型城市韧性与碳排放的耦合协调、时空演进与空间集聚[J].水土保持通报,2025,45(6):259-268

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-10
  • 最后修改日期:2025-08-18
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-31
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