Based on RS and GIS techniques, land use information of Xiamen City was extracted from four Landsat images in the years of 1994, 2000, 2006 and 2013. By the methods of transition matrix, dynamic degree model, transition probability matrix and Markov model, the dynamic change characteristics of land use in Xiamen City during the recent 20 years were analyzed, and the tendency of land use change in the next 10 years was also predicted. The result showed that land use changed with higher speed and then decreased, and there were about 46.75% areas changed in recent 20 years. The overall characteristics of land-use change fit well with the city development strategy to become the economic leader in West Coast Economic Zone, and strengthen the marine economy. The change of construction land will still be the leading type of land use change in Xiamen City from 2014 to 2023, and it is necessary to protect farmland and forest land to promote sustainable development of land use.