基于碳足迹和碳承载力的新疆碳安全评价
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天津市科技支撑国际合作项目“生物质固废生产纤维素及其高值转化的关键技术研发”(13RCGFSF14300);天津市科技支撑科技创新体系及平台建设项目“生物质固废资源化技术服务平台”(14TXGCCX00012)


Carbon Safety Assessment Based on Carbon Footprint and Carbon Capacity in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region
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    摘要:

    [目的] 探索新疆碳足迹和碳承载力的的变化,评价其碳安全程度,为新疆低碳经济的发展提供理论依据。[方法] 利用碳足迹理论对新疆2000—2014年的碳足迹、植被碳承载力、净碳足迹进行计算分析,并利用碳压力指数(CTI)构建了碳安全评价模型。[结果] 新疆碳足迹呈上升趋势,从2000年的1.08×108 t上升到2014年的5.04×108 t,其中化石能源碳足迹占总碳足迹的比重达到96%;碳承载力不断增加,草地固碳量所占的比重最大,其次是森林、农田、园地和城市绿地;人均净碳足迹、碳压力指数均呈现增长趋势,导致新疆碳安全程度不断下降,从2009年开始就处于极不安全的状态。[结论] 化石能源消费的增加是导致新疆碳足迹升高和碳安全程度下降的主要原因,虽然其能源利用率不断提高,但在未来一段时间仍然面临严峻的生态环境问题。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The objective of the study is to explain the changes of carbon footprint and carbon capacity and evaluate the carbon security and provide the theoretical basis for the development of low carbon economy in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. [Methods] Based on the theory of carbon footprint, we calculated the carbon footprint, carbon capacity and net carbon footprint from 2000 to 2014 in Xinjiang Region, and selected carbon ecological pressure index to develop a model for regional ecological security evaluation. [Results] The carbon footprint of Xinjiang Region increased from 1.08×108 t to 5.04×108 t during the period from 2000 to 2014, and the use of fossil fuel contributed 96% of total carbon foot-print. The carbon capacity increased too, and the carbon quantity of grass was the largest, followed by forest, cultivated land, garden land and urban green space. The net carbon footprint and carbon ecological pressure index increased. Since 2009, it had been in a state of “terribly insecurity”, and the carbon security was decreasing. [Conclusion] The increased consumption of fossil energy is the main cause of the growth of its carbon footprint and the decline of its carbon security. Although the efficiency of energy continued to improve in Xinjiang Region, it is still facing serious eco-environment problems in the future.

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韦良焕,林宁,鞠美庭.基于碳足迹和碳承载力的新疆碳安全评价[J].水土保持通报,2017,37(1):281-285,291

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2016-05-27
  • 最后修改日期:2016-06-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-03-23
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