基于土地利用变化的大汶河流域碳储量评估及其脆弱性分析
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

山东农业大学 林学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

X171.1

基金项目:

山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2021QD124); 国家自然科学基金项目(32301658)


Assessment and Vulnerability Analysis of Carbon Storage in Dawen River Basin based on Land Use Change
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    [目的]探明大汶河流域碳储量对土地利用变化的响应及其脆弱性,促进流域绿色可持续发展和为土地利用优化管控提供参考。[方法]基于土地利用数据,运用InVEST模型评估近20年大汶河流域碳储量对土地利用转移的响应,并采用潜在影响指数(PI)评估流域生态系统碳储量服务的脆弱性。[结果](1)2000—2020年,研究区用地结构发生明显变化,主要表现为耕地大量减少(316.44 km2),建设用地急剧增加(523.98 km2),耕地转为建设用地是主要的土地转移类型。(2)近20年研究区碳储量减少1087.46×104 t,其中耕地转为建设用地是碳储量减少的主导因素;碳储量空间分布呈“整体上北高南低、局部区域显著高或显著低”的空间格局。(3)2000—2020年,研究区土地利用强度指数增加8.12,前10年和后10年的潜在影响指数分别为-1.33和-1.42,流域生态系统碳储量服务脆弱性逐渐增强。[结论]研究区耕地、草地和林地的减少和建设用地的扩张对碳储量及其脆弱性影响显著,未来应将碳储量作为土地利用规划的重要参考因素,以实现碳储量功能最优权衡。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Finding out the response and vulnerability of carbon storage to land use change in Dawen River Basin can promote the green and sustainable development of the basin, and also provide reference for land use optimization management and control. [Methods] Based on land use data, InVEST model was utilized to study the impact of land use change on carbon storage evolution in Dawen River Basin from 2000 to 2020, and the potential impact index (PI) was used to assess the vulnerability of ecosystem carbon storage. [Results] The results indicated that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the land use structure of the study area has changed significantly, mainly as a large decrease of cultivated land (316.44 km2) and a sharp increase of construction land (523.98 km2). The conversion of cultivated land to construction land was the main land transfer type. (2) During 2000-2020, the carbon storage decreased by 1087.46×104 t, and the transfer of cultivated to construction land was the leading factor of the decrease. The spatial distribution characteristics of basin carbon storage were "overall high in the north and low in the south, and significantly high or significantly low in local areas". (3) The land use degree index increased by 8.12. The PI for the first and last 10 years was -1.33 and -1.42, respectively, indicating that the vulnerability of carbon storage service was increasing. [Conclusion] The reduction of cultivated land, grassland and forest land and the expansion of construction land in the study area have significant effects on carbon storage and its vulnerability. In the future, carbon storage should be taken as an important reference factor in land use planning to achieve the optimal balance of carbon storage functions.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-07-31
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-28
  • 录用日期:2024-10-28
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期: