不同空间尺度耕地利用转型碳排放及影响因素分析—以湖南省为例
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1.湖南农业大学;2.湖南农业大学资源学院;3.湖南工程职业技术学院;4.湖南农业大学风景园林与艺术设计学院

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F301.2

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金“多维安全视域下耕地非粮化对耕地质量的影响机理及效应研究”(42301301);湖南省自然科学基金部门联合基金“基于GWR的洞庭湖区土地利用碳排放时空演变及其影响因素分析”(2023JJ60190)


Analysis of Carbon Emissions of Cultivated Land Use Transformation and the Influencing Factors at Different Spatial Scales —A Case Study in Hu’nan Province
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Hu’Nan Vocational College of Engineering,Changsha,Hu’nan

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    摘要:

    [目的] 分析耕地利用转型特征和碳排放时空分布差异,探究各影响因素在耕地利用转型碳排放过程中的作用机制,为耕地低碳化利用提供科学依据。[方法] 基于土地利用数据结合碳排放系数,从县区与5 km网格尺度揭示了湖南省2000-2020年间耕地利用转型及其产生的碳排放的时间演化特征,借助空间自相关方法识别和分析碳排放空间分布特征,最后运用最优参数地理探测器探究因子影响与因子间的相互作用程度。[结果] ①研究期内湖南省的耕地面积缩减,伴随耕地与林地、水域以及建设用地之间转化,碳排放量呈现波动增加趋势。②空间自相关分析显示耕地利用转型碳排放在两种尺度上皆存在显著的高—高集聚和低—低集聚现象,表明耕地利用转型碳排放在时空维度均具有较强的集中分布特征。③各影响因子间的交互作用对碳排放的解释力皆强于单因子作用强度,社会经济因素和区位条件因素的交互作用在两种尺度下均有显著的解释力。[结论] 湖南省耕地利用转型对碳排放的影响显著,不同空间尺度下碳排放特征和驱动因素存在明显差异,未来应当更科学合理制定耕地利用减排降碳措施。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The characteristics of cultivated land use transformation and the differences in spatial and temporal distribution of carbon emissions were analyzed to explore the role mechanisms of influencing factors in the process of cultivated land use transformation carbon emissions, and to provide scientific basis for the low-carbonization of cultivated land use. [Methods] Based on the land use data and the carbon emission coefficients, the temporal evolution characteristics of cultivated land use transformation and its carbon emissions during 2000-2020 in Hu’nan Province were revealed at the county and 5 km grid scales, and the spatial distribution characteristics of carbon emissions were identified and analyzed with the help of spatial autocorrelation method; the optimal parameter geodetector model was used to assess the depth of the influence of factors and the degree of interaction between the factors. [Results] ①During the study period, the area of cultivated land in Hu’nan Province has been shrinking continuously, accompanied by a large number of frequent conversion activities between cultivated land and forest land, water area and construction land, the carbon emission shows a fluctuating and increasing dynamic change trend.②The spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that the carbon emissions from the transformation of cultivated land utilization have significant high-high concentration and low-low concentration phenomena in both scales, indicating that the carbon emissions from the transformation of cultivated land utilization have strong concentration distribution characteristics in both spatial and temporal dimensions. ③The interactions among the factors are stronger than the single factor, and the interactions of socio-economic factors and locational conditions have significant explanatory power at both scales. [Conclusion] The impact of cultivated land use transformation on carbon emissions in Hu’nan Province is significant, and there are obvious differences in carbon emission characteristics and drivers at different spatial scales. In the future, carbon emission reduction measures and cultivated land use planning should be formulated more scientifically and rationally.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-28
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-06
  • 录用日期:2024-11-07
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