土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素研究 ——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例
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新疆农业大学

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国家社会科学(20BGL174)


Study on the coupling coordination of land use recessive form and ecological welfare performance and its influencing factors under the background of regional high-quality development: A case study of cities along the lower Yellow River
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    摘要:

    [目的]明晰黄河下游沿岸城市土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效的耦合协调时空格局演变规律,揭示其影响因素作用方向,助推黄河下游沿岸城市群绿色发展。[方法]基于2012—2021年黄河下游沿岸17个地级市的面板数据,采用综合指数模型与Super-SBM模型对其土地利用隐性形态和生态福利绩效进行测度,并运用ArcGIS可视化、核密度分析和耦合协调模型深入剖析各地市土地利用隐性形态、生态福利绩效水平及二者耦合协调度在时空维度上的演变趋势,借助Tobit回归模型探析影响因素。[结果](1)各城市的土地利用隐性形态指数稳中有进,生态福利绩效水平经历了“先降后升”的阶段性演变过程。(2)研究期内黄河下游沿岸城市整体生态福利绩效和土地利用隐性形态的耦合协调度经历了“濒临失调-勉强协调”的转变,有向初级协调类变化的趋势。(3)对外开放,产业结构、空间聚集会对耦合协调产生显著的正向影响关系;科技创新、城市环境则对耦合协调具有明显的抑制作用;高程、坡度、教育水平并不会对耦合协调产生影响。[结论]未来应因地制宜促进土地合理利用,制定科学的环境保护政策,加强对城市的监控与管理,强化省会城市的辐射带动作用,促进城市间绿色协同发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Clarify the spatio-temporal pattern evolution law of the coupling coordination between the recessive form of urban land use and ecological welfare performance along the lower Yellow River, reveal the direction of its influencing factors, and promote the green development of urban agglomerations along the lower Yellow River. [Methods] Based on the panel data of 17 prefecture-level cities along the lower Yellow River from 2012 to 2021, comprehensive index model and Super-SBM model were used to measure the recessive form of land use and ecological welfare performance. In addition, ArcGIS visualization, kernel density analysis and coupled coordination model were used to deeply analyze the evolution trend of the recessive form of land use, the performance level of ecological welfare and the coupling coordination degree of the two cities in the spatial and temporal dimension, and the influencing factors were analyzed with the help of Tobit regression model. [Results] (1) The recessive form of land use in each city was stable but improved, and the ecological welfare performance experienced a phased evolution process of "first decreasing and then increasing". (2) During the study period, the coupling coordination degree of the overall ecological welfare performance of cities along the lower Yellow River and the recessive form of land use experienced a change from "near disharmony to barely coordination", and tended to change to primary coordination. (3) Opening to the outside world, industrial structure and spatial agglomeration have significant positive effects on coupling coordination; Scientific and technological innovation and urban environment have obvious inhibition effect on coupling coordination. The elevation, slope and ten thousand students do not affect the coupling coordination. [Conclusion] In the future, it is necessary to promote the rational use of land according to local conditions, formulate scientific environmental protection policies, strengthen the monitoring and management of cities, strengthen the radiating leading role of provincial capitals, and promote the green coordinated development among cities.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-31
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-04
  • 录用日期:2024-11-06
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