The predictive amounts of population and farmland in the coming 15 years in Wang-dong gully watershed were analysed.Consequential conclusions are as follows:(1)the conflict ofpopulation increasing and farmland decreasing will ease up with the social and economic develop-ment in the future.(2)the course of the easing depends on the measures adopted.(3)the scien-tific guide and requisite capital support is the key to current rural economic development