日降雨对降雨侵蚀力年雨量简易算法的影响分析
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重庆市教委科技项目“三峡库区重庆段土壤侵蚀潜能时空变化规律研究”(KJ110608);重庆师范大学校级青年基金项目“三峡库区重庆段降雨侵蚀力时空分布规律研究”(10XLQ02)


Impacts of Daily Rainfall on Simple Algorithm of Annual Rainfall Erosivit
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    摘要:

    使用重庆市沙坪坝气象站1951-2010年日降雨数据构建降雨侵蚀力年雨量简易算法,分析年雨量简易算法预测精度,确定了年雨量算法预测精度最高时对应的日雨量,并进一步探讨了年降雨侵蚀力和降雨参数的时间变化特征。结果表明:(1)年雨量与年降雨侵蚀力呈指数关系。日雨量≥25mm的年雨量与年降雨侵蚀力的关系最为密切;采用日雨量≥25mm的年雨量算法预测年降雨侵蚀力的精度均优于其他日雨量对应算法。(2)1951-2010年年降雨侵蚀力与年降雨参数随时间变化趋势不显著。对于某一变化趋势时段,日雨量≥25mm的年雨量与时间的相关系数和年降雨侵蚀力与时间的相关系数数值相近。可使用日雨量≥25mm的年雨量作为替代指标分析水土流失对气候变化的响应。该文研究结果可为提高降雨侵蚀力简易算法预测精度,深入理解降雨侵蚀力对气候变化的响应以及区域水土流失防治提供参考。

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    Daily rainfall data of 1951to 2010obtained from Shapingba weather station was used to build simple algorithm of rainfall erosivity.Accordingly,the prediction accuracy of the simple algorithm was analyzed,the daily rainfall corresponding to the highest prediction accuracy was determined,and the temporalcharacteristics of annual rainfall erosivity and rainfall parameters were explored.The main results are as follows:(1)There is an exponential relationship between annual rainfall erosivity and annual rainfall.The annual rainfall with daily rainfall of≥25mm presents the closest relation with annual rainfall erosivity.Additionally,the accuracy for annual rainfall algorithm using daily rainfall of≥25mm in the prediction of rainfallerosivity is better than the algorithms using other levels of daily rainfall.(2)The changes of annual rainfallerosivity and rainfall parameters with time in the year from 1951to 2010are not significant.But for a certainperiod of time,the correlation coefficient between time and the annual rainfall with daily rainfall of≥25mm is similar to that between time and annual rainfall erosivity.The responses of soil erosion to climate changecan be analyzed by using the annual rainfall with daily rainfall of≥25mm as an alternative indicator.The results from the research can be used for reference in enhancing the prediction accuracy of the simplified modelfor annual rainfall erosivity and understanding the responses rainfall erosivity to climate change and regionalsoil and water loss control.

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汪言在,闫冬,李月臣,张述林,苟诗薇.日降雨对降雨侵蚀力年雨量简易算法的影响分析[J].水土保持通报,2012,(3):150-155

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  • 收稿日期:2011-09-06
  • 最后修改日期:2011-11-09
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  • 在线发布日期: 2014-11-25
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