江苏省植被覆盖动态变化及其与气候因子的关系
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国家自然科学基金项目"面向流域的城市化水文效应与城市可持续发展研究"(41201166); 国家国际科技合作专项(2012DFG22140)


Change of Vegetation Coverage in Jiangsu Province and Its Relation with Climatic Factors
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    摘要:

    [目的] 研究2000-2013年江苏省植被覆盖状况的时空分布特征,并从年际和季节尺度上分析植被覆盖的空间变化特征以及NDVI与气温、降水量的相关关系和滞后性,以期为区域生态环境监测、生态环境保护和植被可持续发展提供参考。[方法] 运用美国国家航空航天局(NASA)发布的2000-2013年MODIS 13Q1级产品(归一化植被指数)和江苏省1999-2013年各气象站点气象资料,采用最大值合成法、趋势线分析法、Person相关分析法和偏相关分析法。[结果] (1) 14 a来,江苏省植被NDVI整体上呈下降趋势,且在时间和空间尺度上有所差异; (2) 由于气温、降水量、厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜等事件的影响,NDVI在年际和季节间呈波动性变化; (3) NDVI对降水变化响应的滞后期为1个月,NDVI基本同步于相应气温的变化,仅夏季滞后期为1月。[结论] 从时间尺度上看,年际、秋季,NDVI呈下降趋势,而春夏季,NDVI呈上升趋势;从空间尺度上看,江苏省西部的植被覆盖程度明显优于东部沿海和长江中下游平原。NDVI在年际和季节尺度上与气候因子的相关性显著,且与气温的相关性最好。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The spatial distribution of vegetation on both annual and seasonal scale was illustrated, and the correlations between NDVI and climate factors, including air temperature, precipitation and the lag of NDVI were analyzed. Upon these, we aimed to provide some references for the monitoring and protection of eco-environment and sustainable development of vegetation.[Methods] MODIS13Q1 data published by NASA in 2000-2013 and the meteorological data monitored by sites of Jiangsu Province in 1999-2013 were used. Methods of maximum value synthesis, trend line analysis and Pearson correlation analysis on seasonal and annual scale were applied. [Results] (1) As a whole, vegetation NDVI in the 14 year long interval in Jiangsu Province showed a declining tendency on different tempo-spatial scales. (2) Due to the influence of the climate events, like El Nino or La Nina events and so on, NDVI fluctuated on seasonal and annual scale. (3) NDVI showed a one-month lag of response to precipitation change, while the changes of NDVI and temperature synchronized largely, only a 1-month lag was observed in summer. [Conclusion] From temporal scale, decreasing tendencies of NDVI were observed on the annual scale and in the seasonal periode of autumn. while on the seasonal scale of spring and summer it tended to go high. From the spatial scales, the vegetation coverage in the west of Jiangsu Province was significantly better than those in the eastern coastal plain and in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. NDVI showed significant correlations with climate factors on the seasonal and annual scale, especially with air temperature.

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徐勇,奚砚涛.江苏省植被覆盖动态变化及其与气候因子的关系[J].水土保持通报,2015,35(4):195-201

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  • 收稿日期:2014-09-07
  • 最后修改日期:2014-11-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-04-05
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