川滇地区主汛期暴雨洪水灾害风险评价
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四川省社科联学科专项“经济学视野下四川省气象灾害风险演化机理及响应机制研究”(SC15XK065)


Risk Assessment of Rainstorm Flood Disaster in Main Flood Season in Sichuan-Yunnan Region
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    [目的] 对川滇地区主汛期暴雨洪水灾害风险等级分布及特征进行研究,以期为区域暴雨洪水灾害的防御提供理论参考。[方法] 采用反距离加权空间插值(IDW),自然灾害风险指数等方法。[结果] 暴雨洪水灾害的高、较高风险区主要集中在川东盆地和云南省南部边缘地区;中度风险区主要分布在川西南山地和云南省的大部分地区;较低灾害风险区零星分布在滇东高原、滇西北地区和川西高原东北部等地;低风险区主要位于川西高原地区。[结论] 大气环流、降水量、地形地貌、河网水系是影响川滇地区主汛期暴雨洪水灾害的主要因素,人类活动对区域下垫面性质的改变,是加剧暴雨洪水灾害的触动因素。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The characteristics of rainstorm flood disaster risk in main flood season were studied in Sichuan-Yunnan region to provide theoretical reference for defense of regional rainstorm and flood disasters. [Methods] Methods of inverse distance weighted interpolation(IDW) and natural disaster risk index were used. [Results] The highest risk area of rainstorm flood disasters was mainly concentrated in the eastern Sichuan Basin and the followed area was the southern part of Yunnan Province. Moderate-risk areas were mainly distributed in the southwest mountainous region of Sichuan Province and the most areas of Yunnan Province. Lower-risk area were sporadically distributed in East Yunnan Plateau, Northwest Yunnan Province and the northeastern part of Western Sichuan Plateau. The lowest-risk area was mainly located in Western Sichuan Plateau. [Conclusion] The main influence factors of rainstorm flood disasters were atmospheric circulation, precipitation, topography and river network; the change of land use due to human activities was the trigger of rainstorm flood disasters.

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杜华明,董廷旭.川滇地区主汛期暴雨洪水灾害风险评价[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(4):27-31,35

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2015-08-05
  • 最后修改日期:2015-10-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-09-21
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