北京市2010-2019年水资源生态足迹和生态承载力
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TV211.1

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国家重点研发项目子课题“深部碳酸盐岩热储层天然构造及人工干预下综合评价技术”(2019YFB150410302);中国地质调查项目“雄安新区资源环境承载能力综合监测和透明雄安数字平台建设(中国地质科学院水文地质环境地质研究所)”(DD20189144,DD20190128)


Ecological Footprint and Ecological Carrying Capacity of Water Resources in Beijing City During 2010-2019
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    摘要:

    [目的] 定量评价北京市水资源生态承载状态,为地区可持续发展提供科学依据。[方法] 以水资源生态足迹作为理论基础,叠加生态承载力模型,以北京市2010—2019年数据为主,分析了北京市水资源生态足迹、生态承载力和水资源负载指数的动态变化。[结果] 北京市2010—2019年水资源生态足迹总趋势非常平稳,其值范围为0.28~0.32 hm2/人。北京市人均水资源生态承载力在0.04~0.12 hm2/人之间,受降水影响较大。但随着南水北调外来水的输入,该项指标受降水影响的程度有所降低。万元GDP水资源生态足迹呈现上下波动的趋势,整体变幅与北京市年均降水量变化趋势一致。北京市历年来水资源呈现明显赤字,负载指数也远高于10,水资源生态压力大。[结论] 北京市近几年积极采取措施缓解水资源状况取得了一定成效,但目前北京市水资源形势依然比较严峻。南水北调外调水虽然从很大程度上缓解了北京市严重缺水的局面,但由于北京市水资源存量资本消耗严重,外来水对北京市水资源生态承载力的改善有限。提高水资源利用率,合理调整产业结构,依然是北京可持续发展的主要措施。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Beijing City was evaluated in order to provide a scientific basis for sustainable development of the region. [Methods] Based on the theory of ecological footprint, the model of ecological carrying capacity of water resources and data from 2010 to 2019 in Beijing City, ecological footprint, ecological carrying capacity, and load index of water resources were analyzed. [Results] From 2010 to 2019, the general trend of the ecological footprint for water resources in Beijing City was very stable, and values ranged from 0.28 hm2/person to 0.32 hm2/person. The per capita ecological carrying capacity of water resources ranged from 0.04 hm2/person to 0.12 hm2/person and was greatly affected by precipitation. The influence of precipitation on ecological carrying capacity of water resources decreased with the input of external water from the south to north water transfer project. The tendency of the ecological footprint of ten thousand-yuan GDP fluctuated up and down, and was consistent with precipitation. Water resources showed a significant deficit, and the load index of water was much higher than 10, with the ecological pressure of water resources being great. [Conclusion] The government of Beijing City has taken active measures to increase the efficient use of water resources in recent years, and some positive results have been achieved. However, the situation regarding water resources in Beijing City is still grim. Although water transfer from south to north has alleviated the serious water shortage in Beijing City to a large extent, the results for ecological carrying capacity have been limited due to the serious consumption of water resources stock capital. Reasonable adjustments to the industrial structure, and further improved use of water resources may become important measures to promote sustainable development in Beijing City.

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岳晨,刘峰,杨柳,高昀,郭斯嘉.北京市2010-2019年水资源生态足迹和生态承载力[J].水土保持通报,2021,41(3):291-295,304

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  • 收稿日期:2020-12-30
  • 最后修改日期:2021-03-14
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-07-08
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