“双碳”目标下黄河下游耕地绿色利用效率、收敛性与影响因素
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F301.24

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国家社科基金青年项目“乡村振兴背景下中国农村闲置资源协同激活问题研究(18CJY030)”(18CJY030);教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(18YJCZH061)”;河南省高等学校青年骨干教师培养计划(2021GGJS053);河南理工大学“研究和阐释党的十九大精神”专项立项项目(SJDZXZD-01);河南省社会科学规划专项(2022ZT08)。


Green Utilization Efficiency, Convergence, and Influencing Factors of Cultivated Land in Lower Yellow River Under “Double Carbon” Target
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    摘要:

    [目的] 分析黄河下游耕地绿色利用效率及其收敛性与影响因素,为黄河下游地区耕地生态保护与高质量发展提供参考。 [方法] 将耕地资源利用过程中产生的耕地面源污染和碳排放等非期望产出和总碳汇同时纳入评价指标体系,利用EBM模型、收敛模型、面板Tobit模型系统分析了2007—2020年黄河下游34个地市耕地绿色利用效率、收敛性与影响因素。[结果] ①黄河下游耕地绿色利用效率整体呈上升趋势,但2020年末仍未达到最优状态。黄河下游地区耕地绿色利用效率存在空间非均衡性,豫南及鲁北耕地绿色利用效率值较高,而郑州、威海等地市的效率值一直偏低。 ②从效率分解看,黄河下游地区耕地绿色利用效率提升的主要动力源于规模效率,阻力来自纯技术效率。 ③从收敛检验看,黄河下游耕地绿色利用效率均存在σ收敛和β收敛,河南省耕地绿色利用效率的地市间差距明显低于山东省,但山东省的收敛速度较之更快。 ④从影响因素看,农作物种植结构与政府财政支农对黄河下游地区耕地绿色利用效率起促进作用,而城乡收入差距、经济发展水平和耕地机械投入强度起抑制作用。[结论] 未来黄河下游不但要提高耕地绿色利用的综合管理水平,加强地市间交流合作,更要在推进耕地绿色利用发展的同时,重点关注各地区耕地绿色利用效率的收敛速度与发展差距之间的协调。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River and its convergence and influencing factors were analyzed in order to provide a reference for ecological protection and high-quality development of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River. [Methods] Undesirable outputs such as surface pollution and carbon emissions from cultivated land, and the carbon sequestration and sink capacity of cultivated land resources were simultaneously incorporated into the evaluation index system. The green utilization efficiency, convergence, and influencing factors of cultivated land in 34 municipalities in the lower Yellow River from 2007 to 2020 were systematically analyzed using the EBM model, the convergence model, and the panel random effects Tobit model. [Results] ① The green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River showed an overall upward trend, but still did not reach the optimal state by the end of 2020. The green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River was spatially unbalanced. The green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in Southern He’nan and Northern Shandong provinces was high, while that in Zhengzhou, Weihai, and other cities was always low. ② From the perspective of efficiency decomposition, the main driving force for the improvement of green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River was scale efficiency, while the resistance came from pure technical efficiency. ③ From the convergence test, both σ convergence and β convergence existed in the green utilization efficiency of farmland in the lower Yellow River. The inter-city gap of cultivated land green utilization efficiency in He’nan Province was obviously lower than in Shandong Province, but the convergence rate in Shandong Province was faster. ④ In terms of influencing factors, crop planting structure and government financial support to agriculture increased green utilization efficiency of cultivated land in the lower Yellow River, while the urban-rural income gap, economic development level, and farmland machinery input intensity decreased green utilization efficiency. [Conclusion] In the future, the lower Yellow River should not only improve the comprehensive management level of the green utilization of cultivatedpland and strengthen inter-city exchanges and cooperation, but should also focus on the coordination between the convergence rate of green utilization efficiency of cultivated land and the development gap in each region while promoting development of the green utilization of cultivated land.

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刘涛,尚晓菲,苏原原,霍静娟.“双碳”目标下黄河下游耕地绿色利用效率、收敛性与影响因素[J].水土保持通报,2023,43(1):291-299

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  • 收稿日期:2022-06-07
  • 最后修改日期:2022-10-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-08
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