河南省森林碳汇价值时空特征及其影响因素
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F326.27

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国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项“清潩河流域水环境质量整体提升与功能恢复关键技术集成研究与综合示范课题”(2015ZX07204002); 河南省土地整理中心资助项目“河南省生态碳汇能力提升方法路径及措施研究”(20210717A); 河南科技智库调研课题“河南省辖黄河流域生态产品供给能力提升与价值实现路径调查”(HNKJZK-2023-13B)


Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Factors Influencing Value of Forest Carbon Sequestration in Henan Province
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    摘要:

    [目的] 分析河南省森林碳汇价值时空特征及影响因素,为促进河南省“碳达峰、碳中和”目标实现提供参考。[方法] 采用蓄积量扩展法和造林成本法评估2010-2020年河南省森林碳汇价值,分析其时间变化特征,运用莫兰指数探究其空间聚集特征,并构建扩展STIRPAT模型分析影响森林碳汇价值的因素。[结果] ①河南省森林碳汇价值在时间上呈现持续上升趋势,由2010年的4.18×1010元增加至2020年的6.71×1010元,在空间分布上呈现为“豫西、豫南高,豫东、豫北低”的态势,且存在显著的正向空间聚集效应,碳汇价值显著高值聚集区域分布在豫西和豫南地区,显著低值聚集区域仅有两处且分布散落。②除碳汇强度对河南省森林碳汇价值有负向作用外,森林面积比例、城镇化率、林业产业比例、人均GDP均产生正向影响作用,其中森林面积比例是推动研究区域森林碳汇价值增长的主要因素。[结论] 河南省森林碳汇价值潜力巨大,未来应分区域推进森林碳汇价值实现。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The spatiotemporal characteristics and factors influencing the value of forest carbon sequestration in Henan Province were analyzed in order to provide a reference for promoting the realization of “carbon peak and carbon neutrality”. [Methods] The value of forest carbon sequestration in Henan Province from 2010 to 2020 was evaluated through the stock expansion method and the afforestation cost method, and the temporal variation characteristics of forest carbon sequestration value were analyzed. The Moran index was used to explore the spatial aggregation characteristics, and an extended STIRPAT model was constructed to analyze the factors affecting the value of forest carbon sequestration. [Results] ① The value of forest carbon sequestration in Henan Province showed a continuous rising trend which increased from 4.18 billion yuan in 2010 to 6.71 billion yuan in 2020. Carbon sequestration values exhibited a pattern of “higher in the west and south, lower in the east and north” in Henan Province, and there was a significant positive spatial aggregation effect. The areas with significant high carbon sequestration values were located in Western and Southern Henan Province, while there were only two areas with significant low carbon sequestration values. ② In addition to the negative impact of carbon sink intensity on the value of forest carbon sequestration in Henan Province, the proportion of forest area, urbanization ratio, forestry industry ratio, and per capita GDP all showed positive impacts. The proportion of forest area was the most important factor promoting the growth of forest carbon sequestration values. [Conclusion] There is great potential for forest carbon sequestration in Henan Province, and the realization of forest carbon sequestration should be promoted regionally in the future.

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于鲁冀,张亚慧,王燕鹏,刘莹莹,李昊.河南省森林碳汇价值时空特征及其影响因素[J].水土保持通报,2023,43(5):288-296

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  • 收稿日期:2023-02-14
  • 最后修改日期:2023-03-27
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-30