福建省县域单元农业碳排放核算和时空演变特征研究
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福建农林大学公共管理与法学院

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F323.2

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福建省社科研究基地重大项目“乡村振兴和“双碳”背景下农村人居环境碳排放研究”(FJ2022MJDZ020);国家自然科学青年基金项目“面向膳食需求转型的南方山区耕地果树“非粮化”扩张机制与适应性管控研究”(42201280)


Study on the accounting and spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of agricultural carbon emissions in county units of Fujian Province
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Fujian Provincial Social Science Research Base major project "Rural Revitalization and" Dual carbon "background of Rural Human Settlements Carbon Emission Research" (FJ2022MJDZ020); National Natural Science Youth Foundation Project "Research on Non-grain Expansion Mechanism and Adaptive Control of Cultivated land Fruit Trees in Southern Mountainous Areas Facing Dietary Demand Transformation" (42201280)

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    摘要:

    [目的]通过对福建省县域尺度农业净碳排放量时空特征的分析,以期为福建省及其他各省市区制定碳减排对策提供参考依据。[方法]基于种植业和畜牧业的12种碳源构建农业碳排放核算清单,采用碳排放因子法测算出农业碳排放总量;结合福建省农业特征选取7种主要农作物计算碳吸收量;并利用探索性空间分析方法分析了2001—2020年福建省农业净碳排放的时空演变特征。[结果]①研究期内净碳排放量呈现出先上升后下降的倒“V”型变化趋势。碳源方面,农地利用碳排放占据较大比例;碳汇方面,水稻、蔬菜和甘蔗对碳吸收的贡献较大。大部分县(市)农业碳排放强度呈下降趋势,但年均下降幅度较小。②福建省县域碳排放量存在显著的全局空间正相关,呈现出空间集聚特征,聚集态势以高高集聚和低低集聚为主。农业碳排放强度空间分布格局变化较大,整体呈现下降趋势,其中约有一半的县(市)处于较低强度区。③2001—2020年福建省各县(市)的空间等级分布格局有一定程度的变动,中等排放区和中低排放区数量增多,高等排放区、中高排放区和低排放区数量减少,两极分化情况有所缓解。[结论]近年来福建省大部分县域农业碳排放量和碳排放强度都呈下降趋势,碳减排取得了一定成效,但下降幅度不大,未来还应从政策激励、产业结构优化等方面采取措施强化减排效果,促进农业低碳转型。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] To analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of net carbon emissions from agriculture at the county scale in Fujian Province, with a view to providing a reference basis for the formulation of carbon emission reduction countermeasures in Fujian Province and other provinces and municipalities. [Methods] We constructed an accounting inventory of agricultural carbon emissions based on 12 carbon sources in plantation and livestock industries, and measured the total agricultural carbon emissions by using the carbon emission factor method; selected seven major crops to calculate the carbon uptake by combining with the agricultural characteristics of Fujian Province; and analyzed the spatial and temporal characteristics of the net agricultural carbon emissions in Fujian Province from 2001 to 2020 by using the exploratory spatial analysis method. [Results] ① During the study period, the net carbon emissions showed an inverted "V" trend of first increasing and then decreasing. In terms of carbon sources, carbon emissions from agricultural land use accounted for a larger proportion; in terms of carbon sinks, rice, vegetables and sugarcane contributed more to carbon sequestration. The intensity of agricultural carbon emissions in most counties (cities) showes a decreasing trend, but the average annual decline is small. ② There is a significant global spatial positive correlation of carbon emissions in counties in Fujian Province, showing spatial agglomeration characteristics, and the agglomeration pattern is dominated by high-high and low-low agglomeration. The spatial distribution pattern of the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions changes considerably, with an overall decreasing trend, in which about half of the counties (cities) are in the lower intensity zone. ③ The spatial class distribution pattern of counties (cities) in Fujian Province from 2001 to 2020 has changed to a certain extent, with an increase in the number of medium-emission zones and medium-low-emission zones, and a decrease in the number of high-emission zones, medium-high-emission zones and low-emission zones, and the polarization has been alleviated. [Conclusion] In recent years, most counties inFujian Province have shown a decreasing trend in agricultural carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity, and carbon emission reduction has achieved certain results, but the decline is not large, the future should also be from the policy incentives, optimization of industrial structure and other aspects of the measures taken to strengthen the effect of emission reduction, and to promote the transformation of agriculture low-carbon.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-12-14
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-23
  • 录用日期:2024-02-26
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