基于MIKE FLOOD耦合模型的城区上游水库溃坝洪水模拟研究
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河南省水利勘测设计研究有限公司

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TV122+.4

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Dam-break flood simulation of upstream reservoir in urban area based on MIKE FLOOD coupling model
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    摘要:

    [目的] 城市地区上游水库溃坝使人民生命财产安全受到严重威胁,分析溃坝洪水演进过程模拟研究,可为水库溃决风险防控、制定溃坝早期预警及人员疏散方案提供科学依据。[方法] 以郑州市上游尖岗和常庄水库为例,基于GIS技术构建高仿真地形数字高程模型,利用MIKE FLOOD耦合模型进行水库溃坝一二维模型耦合,模拟水库溃坝后洪水演进过程,探讨洪水在下游河道和复杂城区的演进特征。[结果]常庄水库和尖岗水库溃坝瞬间最大下泄洪峰流量分别为4542.03 m3/s和17549.1 m3/s。贾鲁河下游距尖岗水库约15.00~31.39 km范围内河道两岸的漫堤洪水淹没面积为56.37 km2。常庄水库溃决1 h后,河道漫堤,开始产生淹没区,溃决4.25 h后,尖岗水库发生溃坝。当尖岗水库溃决洪水演进历时1.25 h后,原淹没区水深显著增加,溃决1.92 h后,淹没范围开始增大。常庄和尖岗水库溃坝后,洪水水位均增大至超过南水北调防护堤堤顶,大量洪水涌进南水北调总干渠,洪水流速普遍增大。[结论]尖岗水库溃坝洪峰流量远大于常庄水库,溃坝危害性更大,溃坝后洪水大量涌进南水北调总干渠,堤防、边坡和进出口闸室冲刷风险增大,下游河道两岸漫堤淹没,严重影响南水北调总干渠输水安全和人民生命财产安全。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The dam failure of upstream reservoirs in urban areas poses a serious threat to the safety of people's lives and property. Analyzing the simulation process of flood evolution caused by reservoir dam failure in urban areas to provide scientific basis for reservoir dam failure risk prevention, early warning system development, and evacuation plans. [Methods] Taking the upstream Jiangang and Changzhuang reservoirs in Zhengzhou City as examples, a high simulation terrain digital elevation model is constructed based on GIS technology. The MIKE FLOOD coupling model is used to couple the one-dimensional and two-dimensional models of reservoir dam failure, simulate the flood evolution process after reservoir dam failure, and explore the evolution characteristics of floods in downstream rivers and complex urban areas. [Results] Immediately upon reservoir dam failure, peak discharge at the breach quickly reached its maximum. Peak outflow volumes from Changzhuang and Jiangan reservoirs were 4542.03 m3/s and 17549.1 m3/s, respectively, with non-converging flood peaks. Portions of both banks downstream of Jialu River within 15.00 to 31.39 km from Jiangan reservoir were inundated, covering an area of 56.37 km2. One hour after Changzhuang reservoir breach, river banks began to overflow, resulting in inundation areas. Jiangan reservoir dam failure occurred 4.25 hours later. 1.25 hours after Jiangan reservoir breach, inundation depths significantly increased in the original inundation area, expanding further to maximum inundation area 1.92 hours later. After the dam break of Changzhuang and Jiangan reservoirs, the flood water level increased to more than the top of the South-to-North Water Transfer Protection Embankment, and a large amount of flood surged into the main channel of the South-to-North Water Transfer, and the flood flow rate generally increased. [Conclusion] The flood peak flow of Jiangang Reservoir is significantly larger than that of Changzhuang Reservoir, and the dam break is more harmful. After the dam break, a large amount of flood flows into the main channel of South-to-North Water Diversion Project, and the risk of erosion of dikes, slopes and inlet and outlet lock chambers increases. It seriously affects the water conveyance safety of the main canal of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project and the safety of people 's lives and property.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-02
  • 最后修改日期:2024-09-19
  • 录用日期:2024-09-20
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