长江经济带净碳汇空间网络特征及驱动因素分析
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南华大学经济管理与法学学院

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国家社科基金后期资助项目“‘双碳’目标导向的企业碳资产管理研究”(23FGLB011);湖南省哲学社会科学基金“学术湖南”精品培育项目(22ZDAJ011);湖南省自然科学基金“基于城市空间网络分析(UNA)的轨道交通与土地利用耦合机理及协调发展研究”(2024JJ5328)。


Analysis of the spatial network characteristics and driving forces of net carbon sequestration in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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    摘要:

    [目的]双碳背景下识别长江经济带净碳汇空间关联网络特征对推进长江经济带碳减排协同,实现区域协调发展具有重要作用。[方法]采取修正引力模型构建市域尺度下的长江经济带净碳汇空间关联网络,并采用社会网络分析方法识别空间关联网络特征,以QAP模型识别净碳汇空间关联网络的驱动因素。[结果](1)长江经济带净碳汇具有显著的空间关联特征,总体呈现“东密西疏”的相互交织网络形态,且形成“重庆市”和“上海市”为双核的网络化格局(2)长江经济带净碳汇空间网络的关联性主要受经济发展水平、产业结构高级化、能源消费强度以及不同土地利用结构等差异影响,而城镇化水平以及粮食产量差异的影响并不显著。[结论]实现长江经济带区域协调发展和区域协同减排,需要充分考虑各城市净碳汇的空间关联,以及各城市在空间关联网络中的地位和角色,以充分实现各城市间优势互补和减排效益最大化。同时需要各城市积极推进产业结构高级化,加大减排技术研发与创新,提高能源利用效率同时优化土地利用结构以实现降碳增汇。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Identifying the spatial correlation network characteristics of net carbon sinks in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the background of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality plays an important role in promoting the synergy of carbon emission reduction in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and realizing regional coordinated development. [Method] The modified gravity model was used to construct the spatial correlation network of net carbon sinks in the Yangtze River Economic Belt at the municipal scale, and the characteristics of the spatial correlation network were identified by using the social network analysis method, and the driving factors of the spatial correlation network of net carbon sinks were identified by the QAP model. [Results] (1) The net carbon sink in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has significant spatial correlation characteristics, and generally presents an intertwined network pattern of "dense in the east and sparse in the west", and forms a network pattern with "Chongqing" and "Shanghai" as the dual cores(2) The correlation of the net carbon sink spatial network in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is mainly affected by the differences in economic development level, industrial structure upgrading, energy consumption intensity and different land use structures, while the impact of urbanization level and grain yield difference is not significant. [Conclusion] To achieve the coordinated development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and regional coordinated emission reduction, it is necessary to fully consider the spatial correlation of net carbon sinks of each city, as well as the status and role of each city in the spatial correlation network, so as to fully realize the complementary advantages of each city and maximize the benefits of emission reduction. At the same time, cities need to actively promote the upgrading of industrial structure,increase the research and development and innovation of emission reduction technologies, improve energy efficiency, and optimize land use structure to achieve carbon reduction and increase sinks.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-23
  • 最后修改日期:2024-08-30
  • 录用日期:2024-08-31
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