江西省数字新质生产力与水资源利用效率的耦合协调关系
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TV213.4,TV213.9

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国家自然科学基金项目“氮磷添加对亚热带森林中微量元素内循环的影响”(32060263);江西省社会科学基金项目“新质生产力对江西省碳排放效率的影响效应及提升路径”(25GL09)


Coupled coordination relation of digital new quality productivity and water resources utilization efficiency in Jiangxi Province
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    [目的] 探究数字新质生产力与水资源利用效率的耦合协调关系、时空特征及影响因素,为推动数字经济和水资源高效利用协同发展提供科学依据。[方法] 基于江西省地级市2011—2022年面板数据,分别构建数字新质生产力与水资源利用效率的评价指标体系,采用Super-SBM模型、核密度估计和地理探测器等方法探究二者耦合协调度的时空特征及其驱动因素。[结果] ①江西省数字新质生产力水平呈现逐年上升的趋势,各地市间存在明显的差异。水资源利用效率呈现出较为平缓的先下降再上升,再下降再上升的“W”型趋势,整体效率有所下降。②耦合协调度呈现逐年上升趋势,大多城市实现了失调向协调的转变,空间上呈现“大连片,小散落”的分布特征。未来几年耦合协调度呈现上升趋势,大部分城市在2027年能够实现初级协调到良好协调的转变。③农业有效灌溉面积、地形、城镇化率和水资源禀赋是耦合协调度的主要驱动因子,因子间的交互作用结果仅表现为双因子增强和非线性增强。[结论] 江西省数字新质生产力与水资源利用效率协调发展水平较低且城市间差异较大,需制定区域差异化发展策略和优化多因子协同发展的政策支持体系,实现数字新质生产力与水资源利用的均衡发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The coupling coordination relationship, spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors between digital new quality productivity and water resource utilization efficiency were explored, in order to provide a scientific basis for promoting the synergistic development of the digital economy and high-efficience water resource utilization. [Methods] Using panel data of prefecture-level cities in Jiangxi Province from 2011 to 2022, the evaluation index system was constructed for digital new quality productivity and water resource utilization efficiency. The Super-SBM model, kernel density estimation, and geographical detector methods were employed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of their coupling coordination degree and its driving factors. [Results] ① The level of digital new quality productivity in Jiangxi Province exhibited a year-by-year increasing trend, with significant disparities among the cities. Water resource utilization efficiency demonstrated a relatively stable “W”-shaped trend, namely, initially declining, then rising, declining again, and rising once more, resulting in an overall decline in efficiency. ② The coupling coordination degree showed a year-by-year increasing trend, with most cities transitioning from disorder to coordination. Spatially, it presented a distribution pattern characterized by large contiguous areas with small, scattered patches. The degree of coupling coordination is projected to increase in the future, with most cities expected to transition from primary to good coordination by 2027. ③ The primary driving factors of coupling coordination included effective agricultural irrigation area, topography, urbanization rate, and water resource endowment. The interaction effects between these factors manifested primarily as two-factor and nonlinear enhancements. [Conclusion] The level of coordinated development between digital new quality productivity and water resource utilization efficiency in Jiangxi Province was relatively low, with significant disparities among cities. Formulating regionally differentiated development strategies and optimizing policy support systems for multi-factor synergistic development is essential for achieving balanced progress in digital new quality productivity and water resource utilization.

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顾东明,胡小飞,张佳宁,陈美玲.江西省数字新质生产力与水资源利用效率的耦合协调关系[J].水土保持通报,2025,45(4):326-336

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-25
  • 最后修改日期:2025-05-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-05
  • 出版日期: 2025-08-15