海河流域气候-土地利用-生态治理对水生态系统服务的影响
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河北省社会科学基金项目“基于价值流动视角的河北省调节服务生态产品价值评价及实现路径研究”(HB23YJ015)


Impacts of climate, land use and ecological governance on water ecosystem services in Haihe River basin
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    [目的] 分析海河流域水生态系统服务功能的时空变化特征,探析气候、土地利用变化及水生态治理措施对水生态系统服务功能的影响,为流域水资源健康管理提供科学依据。[方法] 选取产水量和水质净化作为海河流域水生态系统核心服务功能,基于InVEST模型模拟该流域1985—2023年共9期的产水量和水质净化功能,并应用情景分析法计算气候和土地利用对水生态系统服务功能变化的贡献率,采用GTWR模型量化气候、土地利用和水生态治理因子对水生态系统服务功能的影响程度。[结果] ①1985—2023年,产水量整体呈波动上升趋势,多年平均产水量为105 mm。空间上,中部和西南部产水量增加,其他区域减少。②1985—2023年,表征水质净化功能的总氮(TN)输出波动上升,总磷(TP)输出持续下降后趋于平稳。空间上,南部N,P输出增加,北部减少。③气候和土地利用对产水量变化的贡献率分别为56%和44%。跨流域调水量、降水量和水域面积增加促进产水功能,气温升高、蒸发量增加抑制产水功能。气候对N,P输出变化的贡献率均为61%,土地利用对N,P输出变化的贡献率均为39%。污水处理回用量提升、蒸发量增加和水域面积扩大对水质净化功能具有促进作用,气温升高和降水量增加对水质净化功能存在抑制效应。[结论] 海河流域水生态系统服务功能的时空异质性由气候、土地利用和水生态治理措施共同驱动,人类高强度的开发活动加剧了对水资源的利用强度,同时导致了水生态系统净化功能的退化,而水生态治理措施有效缓解了这一态势。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The spatiotemporal variation characteristics of water ecosystem services in the Haihe River basin were analyzed, and the impact patterns of climate, land use change, and water ecological governance measures on water ecosystem services were explored, in order to provide a scientific basis for the healthy management of water resources in the river basin. [Methods] Water yield and water purification were selected as the core water ecosystem services in the Haihe River basin. Using the InVEST model, the water yield and water purification functions were simulated for nine periods from 1985 to 2023 in the river basin. Scenario analysis was applied to calculate the contribution rates of climate and land use to changes in water ecosystem services, and the GTWR model was used to quantify the impacts of climate, land use, and water ecological governance factors on water ecosystem services. [Results] ① From 1985 to 2023, water yield exhibited an overall fluctuating upward trend, with a multi-year average of 105 mm. Spatially, water yield increased in the central and southwestern regions and decreased in other regions.② From 1985 to 2023, the total nitrogen(TN) export, representing the water purification function, showed a fluctuating upward trend, while the total phosphorus(TP) export declined continuously and then stabilized. Spatially, N and P exports increased in the southern region and decreased in the northern region.③ The contribution rates of climate and land use to changes in water yield were 56% and 44%, respectively. Increases in inter-basin water transfer volume, precipitation, and water area enhanced water yield, while increases in temperature and evaporation inhibited it. The contribution rate of climate to changes in both N and P exports was 61%, and that of land use was 39%. Increases in wastewater treatment and reuse volume, evaporation, and water area promoted the water purification function, while increases in temperature and precipitation inhibited it. [Conclusion] The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of water ecosystem services in the Haihe River basin is jointly driven by climate, land use, and water ecological governance measures. High-intensity human development activities have increased water resource utilization intensity and simultaneously caused degradation of the water purification function, while water ecological governance measures have effectively alleviated this trend.

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时笑磊,张贵军.海河流域气候-土地利用-生态治理对水生态系统服务的影响[J].水土保持通报,2026,46(2):353-365

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-28
  • 最后修改日期:2025-09-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-13
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