Regression Analysis and Potentials of Farmland Development and Crop Yield of Yulin Prefecture
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    Abstract:

    All the 12 counties in Yulin prefecture of Shaanxi province are poor and severely eroded in the Yellow river basin .Since the new China founded,there has been 378000 ha of irrigated land,soil-saving dam land and terraced land(called“three lands”for short)constructed,which consists of 60% of the total farmland .A regression coefficient of 43.9 of field cropyield to“three lands” area has been drawn by regression analysis,that means the yield of the total farmland increased by 43.9 kg/ha with an increment of each 10000 ha of“three lands”.For the 35 years,“three lands” increased by 906 500 ton of food , and the relevant coefficient is 0.9955, being doubly marked and positively interrelated .Percapita food of villagers was 444 kg in 1996,increased by 1.95 times comparing to that of 150.5 kg in 1949.The sandy area of northern Yulin holds a great potentialin developing irrigated land and food production,and 134000 ha of land can be opened up for well-irrigated farmland.It is predicted that the total food production can reach 1870000 ton,and there will be 521kg food percapita by 2010.

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林关石,孙保胜,梁文菊,袁彩莉.榆林地区农田开发与粮食增产回归分析及潜力研究[J].水土保持通报英文版,1998,(3):30-33,46

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History
  • Received:April 27,1998
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 28,2014
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