Driving Forces and Security of Cultivated Land Resource in Black Soil Zone of Songnen High Plains --A Case of Bayan County, Heilongjiang Province
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    Abstract:

    Security of cultivated land resources is the basis for cultivated land protection and national food se-curity. Bayan County as an important base for marketable grain production in the black soil zone of Songnen High Plains was selected as research region. Natural, economic, social and ecological indices were incorpo-rated to establish an evaluation index system in this study. The method of optimal combination was applied to establish index weights, and the method of synthetic index was used to quantitatively evaluate the opera-tion status of the security of cultivated land rescaurces in Bayan County from 2000 to 2009. In addition, prin-cipal component analysis was conducted tq analyze the driving forces. Introducing Cubic curve, the model of security changes of cultivated land resom,was was estabished with nonlinear regression analysis to validate the secure values of cultivated land resources and the eontrlbution of driving forces. The results show that the cultivated land security status of the study area differed over time it is less secure in 2000, extremely unse-cure from 2001 to 9,003, less secure from 2004 to 2005, intermediately secure in 2006, and relatively secure from 2007 to 2009. According to the anialysis, the development of technology, economy, and society, the natural disturbance forces, and the ecologicat influence were the main driving forces for the security changes. A significant cubic curve relation ship was found hetweea the cultivated land resource security and these three kinds of driving forces, reflecting high reasonability arid applicability of the model established in this study.

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宋戈,李晓静,向长玉,薛睿,张新乐.松嫩高平原黑土区耕地资源安全及其驱动力分析——以黑龙江省巴彦县为例[J].水土保持通报英文版,2012,(4):213-218

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History
  • Received:July 20,2011
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 25,2014
  • Published: