Dynamic Changes and Driving Factors of Cultivated Land in Jiangxi Province
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    Abstract:

    The temporal and spatial characteristics of dynamic change of cultivated land in Jiangxi province was analyzed based on the cultivated land change and social economic data during 1990-2009. Meanwhile, the main driving force of cultivated land quantity change in Jiangxi Province was revealed using principal component analysis combining multivariate linear regression analysis. The results showed that cultivated land quantity change reduced at first and then increased; There were significant differences between different regions and the relative land change rate was strikingly different at different period; The main driving factors of cultivated land dynamic changes in Jiangxi Province included three main categories: economic growth, social development and agricultural science and technology advancement. Overall, the cultivated land quantity change had significant correlation with population, GDP, the social fixed assets investment, the three major industries, cultivated land output rate and farm machinery total power. There are two main driving factors in the first principal component which are economic and population. Moreover, the development of agricultural science and technology is the main factor in the second principal component.

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张婷,骆希,蔡海生.江西省耕地的动态变化及驱动因子[J].水土保持通报英文版,2014,(3):305-310

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History
  • Received:May 20,2013
  • Revised:July 15,2013
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 29,2016
  • Published: