[Objective] To apply the autoregressive integrated moving average model(ARIMA) that had been generally used in the modern metrology to ecological footprint analysis.[Methods] Taking Weishan County in Shandong Province as the study area, the per capita ecological footprint and the per capita ecological carrying capacity from 1995 to 2010 were computed firstly, then the trend of per capita ecological footprint and per capita ecological carrying capacity from 2011 to 2012 were forecasted based on the computed results.[Results] Tested by the actual data in 2011 and 2012, the prediction error of ARIMA model was only 6.12% and 4.89%.[Conclusion] The ARIMA model had high accuracy and good applicability in the prediction of ecological footprint.