Evolution of Temporal-spatial Pattern of Grain Production and Its Driving Mechanism in Huaihe River Basin During 1990-2012
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    Abstract:

    [Objective] With the continuous increase in grain output and agricultural policies adjustment during 1990-2012, the temporal-spatial evolution of grain production and its driving mechanism was studied in order to provide theoretical support for food security policy making in Huaihe River basin.[Methods] The space center and spatial pattern of grain production were analyzed dynamically based on the regional gravity model and spatial autocorrelation method.[Results] (1) The total grain output and per county grain output increased since 1990s. The counties with high grain production distributed in the middle part of Huaihe river basin, while the counties with average grain production distributed toward the middle and up part of the basin. (2) The space center of grain production in Huaihe river basin moved to west and south and the center of grain production moved to the Shuixi County of Anhui Province from the Central Jiangsu Province during the study period, and the spatial pattern tend to be stable. (3) The counties with high grain production tend to aggregate in the junction area between He'nan and Anhui Province and the counties in coastal area of Central Jiangsu Province. While the counties with low grain production tended to cluster in the edge area of western He'nan Province. The number of counties with the aggregation of high-low and low-high is small, but its spatial distribution changed greatly.[Conclusion] The dominant factors, such as water and soil resources change, new agricultural technology and policy inclination, grain comparative benefits, common drive the evolution of basin spatial pattern of food production.

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高军波,刘彦随,张永显.1990-2012年淮河流域粮食生产的时空演进及驱动机制[J].水土保持通报英文版,2016,36(3):179-185,192

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History
  • Received:May 27,2015
  • Revised:July 16,2015
  • Adopted:
  • Online: July 12,2016
  • Published: