Impacts of Climatic Change on Precipitation and Surface Runoff from 1970 to 2016 in Qingyuan River Basin, Source Region of Weihe River
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

P343

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    [Objective] To investigate the variations and relationships of temperature, precipitation and runoff during 1970-2016, in order to explore the impacts of climate change on precipitation and runoff and simulate the evolution of runoff in Qingyuan River, the source region of the Weihe River.[Methods] The inter-annual variations and the relationships between climatic elements and runoff were analyzed. Three temperature modified climate-hydrological models and general hydrological models were compared to explore the impacts of climate change on runoff.[Results] The period from 1994 to 1995 was the dividing line of the main meteorological and hydrological elements in Qingyuan River basin. During 1970-1994, there was no significant variation in the annual average temperature, precipitation and runoff. However, temperature showed an increasing trend while precipitation and runoff showed a decreasing trend after 1995. Compared to the period of 1970-1974, the annual average temperature increased by 0.9℃ in 2010-2016 (with a rate of 15.79%), while the annual precipitation and runoff decreased by 13.48% and 31.82%, respectively. The three climate-hydrological models, MQPT1-1, MQPT2-1 and MQPT3-1, showed higher accuracies than the general hydrological model by simulating the annual precipitation and runoff processes. Especially, the mean simulated error of MQPT2-1 (modified model based on air temperature disturbance) was only 3.03%, which was 11.62% higher than the general hydrological model (without considering climate change).[Conclusion] Temperature variation had significant impacts on runoff in the last 50 years in the Qingyuan River basin, especially after 1995. In addition, the impacts of temperature and other major meteorological factors should be involved in runoff simulation analysis.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

牛最荣,张芮,陈学林,蔺宝军.1970-2016年气候变化对渭河源头清源河流域降水和地表径流的影响[J].水土保持通报英文版,2018,38(5):9-14

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:January 31,2018
  • Revised:April 17,2018
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 10,2018
  • Published: