Evaluation and Prediction of Ecosystem Health in Gansu Section of Yellow River Basin Based on PSR Model
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

X171.1, X826

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    [Objective] The health level of ecosystems in Gansu section of the Yellow River basin was evaluated, in order to provide a theoretical reference and decision-making basis for the ecological protection and high-quality development of the river basin. [Methods] Based on panel data from 2011 to 2021, the PSR model was used to build an ecosystem health evaluation index system in Gansu section of the Yellow River basin. The entropy method, comprehensive index method, and GM-ARIMA prediction model were used to comprehensively evaluate and predict the health level of ecosystems in the river basin. [Results] ① From 2011 to 2021, the comprehensive index of urban and state ecosystems showed an upward trend. In the important water supply ecological functional area of Gannan Yellow River, the health level of the Gannan ecosystem was “inferior”, and the health level of the Linxia ecosystem had changed from “inferior” to “poor”. In the Loess Plateau, the health level of the Lanzhou ecosystem had changed from “medium” to “good”, and the health level of the Tianshui, Dingxi, and Pingliang ecosystems had changed from “inferior” to “poor”. The health level of Baiyin and Qingyang ecosystems was “inferior”. In the sandstorm comprehensive preventions and control area, the health level of the Wuwei ecosystem was “inferior”. ② The comprehensive ecological environmental index from 2022 to 2031 is predicted to increase, but the ecosystem health level will not change significantly. [Conclusion] The overall health level of ecosystems in the Gansu section of the Yellow River basin is not high. Current ecological protection and environmental improvement measures have not fully solved the challenges faced by the ecological environment in the region. In the future, it will be necessary to further strengthen supervision and management to improve the health level of ecosystems in the region.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

罗鹏,谈存峰,齐婷婷.基于PSR模型的黄河流域甘肃段生态系统健康评价及预测[J].水土保持通报英文版,2024,44(3):180-189

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:November 16,2023
  • Revised:January 27,2024
  • Adopted:
  • Online: August 21,2024
  • Published: